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SMG Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Scotts Miracle-Gro Co(SMG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Scotts Miracle-Gro Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q42025-11-05Pre-Market-1.88-1.96-4.26396.75M387.40M-2.36+2.86+4.59
FY2025Q32025-07-30Pre-Market2.192.59+18.261.23B1.19B-3.17-8.50-7.88
FY2025Q22025-04-30Pre-Market3.953.98+0.761.50B1.42B-5.02-5.90+4.87
FY2025Q12025-01-29Pre-Market-1.28-0.89+30.47392.04M416.80M+6.32-5.78-8.04
FY2024Q32024-07-31-1.892.31+22.221.20B1.20B+0.37+11.90+0.44
FY2024Q22024-05-01-3.353.69+10.151.50B1.53B+1.89-0.44+0.98
FY2024Q12024-02-07--1.62-1.45+10.49412.78M410.40M-0.58+3.68+2.03
FY2023Q42023-11-01--2.83-2.77+2.12332.24M374.50M+12.72+18.54+17.39
FY2023Q32023-08-02-1.411.17-17.021.16B1.12B-3.68-19.01-25.34
-2023-05-03-3.203.78+18.13----7.86+1.56
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SMG Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-11-05. The company achieved an EPS of -1.96, compared to analyst estimates of -1.88 by -4.26% . Revenue for the quarter reached 387.40M compared to expectations of 396.75M by -2.36% .
The stock price reacted with a 2.86% one-day change and a 4.59% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Scotts Miracle-Gro Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

SMG Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Scotts Miracle-Gro Co(SMG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 363.11M and an EPS of -0.97.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Downward by -1.45%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -1.1%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -14.53% . These revisions correlate with a -13.20% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Scotts Miracle-Gro Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between SMG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.45%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
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-1.1%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Downward
down Image
-14.53%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-13.20%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:3.43B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:4.28
—
Stock Price54.72
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SMG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-11-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: -1.96 (Actual) vs.-1.88 (Estimate) (-4.26%)
Revenue: 387.40M (Actual) vs. 396.75M (Estimate) (-2.36%)
Price Reaction: 2.86%(1-Day), 4.59%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-07-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 2.59 (Actual) vs.2.19 (Estimate) (18.26%)
Revenue: 1.19B (Actual) vs. 1.23B (Estimate) (-3.17%)
Price Reaction: -8.50%(1-Day), -7.88%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 3.98 (Actual) vs.3.95 (Estimate) (0.76%)
Revenue: 1.42B (Actual) vs. 1.50B (Estimate) (-5.02%)
Price Reaction: -5.90%(1-Day), 4.87%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SMG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SMG sees a +1.83% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.45% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.05%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.84% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -4.91% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary indicates positive developments, such as reaffirmed EBITDA guidance, U.S. sales growth, and e-commerce expansion. The Q&A section shows management addressing concerns, noting improvements in leasing and demand, particularly in the U.S. and defense sectors. While some uncertainties exist, the overall sentiment is optimistic, supported by strategic initiatives and market opportunities. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary presents a mixed sentiment. The financial performance and market strategy seem stable, with reaffirmed guidance and growth plans. However, the Q&A reveals concerns about leasing spreads, incentives, and market challenges in Toronto and Vancouver. Management's evasive responses to certain questions further contribute to uncertainty. The company's market cap suggests moderate volatility. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, as positive guidance and strategic plans are balanced by market challenges and management's unclear communication.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-05
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with increased net income, reduced leverage, and improved EBITDA. E-commerce growth and gross margin improvements are positive indicators. The Q&A session reveals confidence in growth strategies, such as innovation and digital advertising. Concerns about unclear management responses are noted but do not outweigh the positive sentiment. The multiyear buyback program adds to shareholder value. Considering the company's market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is expected over the next two weeks.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-30
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with improved gross margins, increased e-commerce sales, and a positive outlook on gross margin improvement. The company has a solid strategy for growth and debt reduction. Despite some uncertainties in pricing strategy and lack of specific guidance on innovation impact, the overall sentiment is positive. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a prediction of a 2% to 8% stock price increase.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-01
The earnings call presented a mixed picture: strong EPS growth and improved margins were offset by declining net sales and increased promotional spending. The Q&A highlighted uncertainties, especially around promotions and sales shifts, which may concern investors. Despite positive operational improvements and debt reduction, the lack of clear guidance on some issues and a competitive market landscape suggest a balanced outlook. Given the market cap, a neutral stock price reaction (-2% to 2%) is expected over the next two weeks.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-04-30
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant improvements in gross margins and net income. Despite a decline in net sales, the company has effectively managed costs and improved profitability. The Q&A session highlighted management's confidence in maintaining EBITDA guidance and mitigating potential risks. The market strategy of focusing on high-margin products and cost leadership is promising. While there are concerns about promotional spending and sales shifts, these are within planned budgets. Given the company's market cap, a positive stock price movement of 2% to 8% is likely over the next two weeks.
Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-01-31
The earnings call summary shows mixed results: strong consumer sales growth, improved gross margins, and a commitment to shareholder returns are positive. However, the significant decline in Hawthorne sales, ongoing net losses, management transition risks, and lack of clear guidance on Hawthorne's future create uncertainties. The Q&A session revealed confidence in consumer demand and supply chain stability, but management's evasive answers on key strategic issues add caution. Given the company's market cap and the mixed signals, the stock is likely to remain stable with minor fluctuations, leading to a neutral sentiment.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-06
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA and significant debt reduction. Despite flat sales, operational efficiencies improved margins. The Q&A section suggests confidence in achieving future targets, with low single-digit growth and margin expansion. The maintenance of dividends and debt reduction enhance shareholder value. Positive guidance and strategic goals, such as achieving $700 million EBITDA by 2027, further support a positive outlook. With a market cap of $3.8 billion, the stock is likely to react positively, within the 2% to 8% range, over the next two weeks.
The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company (SMG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-31
The earnings call summary reveals a mixed outlook. Strong financial performance with record high revenue and improved margins is positive, but the flat to declining market conditions and supply chain challenges pose risks. The Q&A section highlights management's cautious stance on future guidance and market conditions, which tempers optimism. Despite positive shareholder return plans and debt reduction, the uncertain market strategy and economic factors suggest a neutral impact on stock price. Given the company's market cap, the stock is likely to see limited movement, falling within the neutral range of -2% to 2% over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of SMG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?

SMG reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-11-05, showcasing a revenue of 387.40M against an estimate of 396.75M, resulting in a -2.36% surprise. The EPS was -1.96, surpassing the expected -1.88 by -4.26% . The stock experienced a 2.86% price change on the earnings day and a 4.59% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did SMG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?

Following SMG’s FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-11-05, the stock price moved by 2.86% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 4.59% change. Historically, SMG’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.83% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.45% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SMG for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate SMG’s annual revenue to reach 363.11M, while the EPS is projected at -0.97. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -1.45% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -14.53% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does SMG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between SMG’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Downward by -1.45%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -14.53% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from SMG’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, SMG’s stock price typically moves by +1.83% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.45% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.97 and revenue of 363.11M.
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What is the sentiment in Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary indicates positive developments, such as reaffirmed EBITDA guidance, U.S. sales growth, and e-commerce expansion. The Q&A section shows management addressing concerns, noting improvements in leasing and demand, particularly in the U.S. and defense sectors. While some uncertainties exist, the overall sentiment is optimistic, supported by strategic initiatives and market opportunities. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive stock price movement prediction.
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