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SMFG Stock Price Prediction

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Should I Buy Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMFG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

SMFG stock price ended at $14.85 on Friday, after losing -0.6%

The Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc stock price decreased by -0.6% on the last trading day (20 Jun 2025), dropping from 14.89 to 14.85. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 0.71% , ranging from a day low of $14.795 to a day high of 14.9. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -2.30% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -408.50K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.33M  shares were traded, amounting to approximately 19.67M.

SMFG Technical Signals

SMFG(Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc Corp) has 6 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-09. The total price change during this trend is -2.56%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of SMFG over the last 5 trading days is 24.72M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

SMFG Moving Average Analysis

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, June 23, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.330973333333334, and $15.514333333333335. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.737693333333334, and $14.554333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

SMFG Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc(SMFG) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 16.23%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 15.06 to 14.94. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
6

Moving Average

Swing

down ImageNegative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

down ImageNegative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

up ImagePositive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

up ImagePositive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
6 Bullish Signals
6 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20

10.769

Bullish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 < -100

-139.683

Bullish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.18

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.0948

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

0.554

Bullish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 < -80

-92.199

Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-0.35

Bearish

Closing price

close < fibonacci_S1

14.85

Bearish

SMFG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc(SMFG), our algorithm predicts SMFG's 1-month price at $14.99, with an 0.95%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.74%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 22, 2025 , forecasts a 0.95% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AMT.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.74%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
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SMFG

No Data
stocks logo

AMT

Up: 0.95%Similarity: 95.74%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

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AMT.N

95.74%

+0.95%

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GFF.N

95.25%

+8.34%

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TV.N

95.25%

-9.59%

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ASIX.N

95.21%

+9.24%

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SID.N

95.20%

-15.64%

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IBOC.O

95.00%

+2.09%

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BOKF.O

94.98%

+1.42%

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CRDF.O

94.98%

-3.32%

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KRNY.O

94.96%

+5.79%

SMFG Seasonality Analysis

Based on SMFG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is36.36%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in SMFG. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at72.73%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while August has the lowest probability (30.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. (SMFG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.

People Also Watch

FAQ

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Should I buy Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMFG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
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Which months have the highest win rate for buying Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock in a year?

The radar chart shows that buying Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (72.73%), while August has the lowest probability (30.00%).

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How has Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc. (SMFG)'s stock price performed over the past three years?

SMFG's stock price rose by 19.65% in 2023,increased by 50.31% in 2024, and went up by 3.12% in 2025.

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Which bull technical signals does SMFG have?

Bullish technical signals of SMFG include: STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20, CCI_20_0.015 < -100, AO_5_34 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20, WILLR_14 < -80.

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Which bearish technical signals does SMFG have?

Bearish technical signals of SMFG include: MOM_10 < 0, close < fibonacci_S1.

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Is SMFG a buy based on overall technical signals summary?

SMFG has 6 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for SMFG is Strong buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of SMFG.

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What is the trend of Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG)'s moving average?

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of June 23 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.

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What is price prediction for SMFG stock next month?

The price prediction chart for Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.N) stock, as of June 22 2025, forecasts a 0.95% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with AMT stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.74%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

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What is price prediction 2025 for SMFG Stock?

The price prediction for SMFG stock in 2025 is approximately **$16.20**. This forecast is based on the stock's current price of $14.93, positive earnings reports, and expansion activities, with key resistance levels at $15.43 and $15.55. While there are concerns about tariff uncertainties, the overall outlook remains bullish due to strong fundamentals and growth initiatives.

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What is price prediction 2030 for SMFG Stock?

SMFG stock is predicted to reach **$25 by 2030**, driven by its strong financial performance and growth initiatives. The company's consistent profitability, strategic expansions, and Berkshire Hathaway's long-term investment confidence position it for sustained growth.

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