Stock Price Prediction

Technical Analysis Based on technical indicators, SMFG is showing mixed signals. The RSI(14) at 51.10 indicates neutral momentum, while MACD at 0.07 suggests a slightly bullish trend. The stock is trading above both its 20-day moving average (14.54) and 200-day moving average (13.19), indicating an overall upward trend.

Price Targets Using Fibonacci levels analysis:

• Resistance levels: R1 at 14.92, R2 at 15.16, R3 at 15.55
• Support levels: S1 at 14.14, S2 at 13.90, S3 at 13.52
• Pivot point: 14.53

News Sentiment & Fundamental Analysis Recent news flow has been positive for SMFG:

• The company expects record net profit exceeding 1.2 trillion yen ($7.65 billion) for FY2025
• Strong growth across all business segments with expanding domestic opportunities
• The online banking app Olive is performing ahead of schedule and expected to be profitable this fiscal year
• Strategic expansion through alliance with Jefferies Financial Group and plans for IT center in India

Price Prediction for Next Week Based on technical and fundamental factors:

• Most likely scenario (60% probability): Price range between 14.90-15.16 (R1-R2)
• The strong profit forecast and positive business momentum support upward movement
• Key resistance at 15.16 (R2) needs to be broken for further upside

Trading Recommendation BUY with entry point at current market price (~14.53)

• Set stop loss at 14.14 (S1)
• First target: 14.92 (R1)
• Second target: 15.16 (R2)
• Position sizing should account for potential volatility around upcoming earnings release