Should I Buy Super Micro Computer Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SMCI has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
SMCI stock price ended at $38.935 on Tuesday, after rising 16.15%
The Super Micro Computer Inc stock price increased by 16.15% on the last trading day (13 May 2025), rising from 33.89 to 33.52. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.43% , ranging from a day low of $32.95 to a day high of 35.07. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -10.06% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 19.87M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 51.33M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.74B.
SMCI Technical Signals
SMCI(Super Micro Computer Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is -0.18%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of SMCI over the last 5 trading days is 1.42B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
SMCI Moving Average Analysis
Super Micro Computer Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Wednesday, May 14, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $38.26963086666667, and $41.51926666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $27.755102466666667, and $24.505466666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SMCI Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Super Micro Computer Inc(SMCI) as of 09 May 2025 is 14.63%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 32.11 to 31.99. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
NegativeSMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-1.091
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-3.62
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.738
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
SMCI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Super Micro Computer Inc(SMCI), our algorithm predicts SMCI's 1-month price at $30.48, with an -9.59%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 90.93%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -9.59% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with INSP.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 90.93%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SMCI
No Data
INSP
Down: -9.59%Similarity: 90.93%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
INSP.N
90.93%
-9.59%
FOXF.O
90.67%
+15.39%
LPTH.O
90.36%
0.00%
TNK.N
90.29%
+19.61%
MODV.O
90.27%
-20.21%
MTB.N
90.10%
-10.15%
PDYN.O
90.05%
-5.60%
MODV.O
90.03%
+8.13%
SMCI Seasonality Analysis
Based on SMCI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in SMCI. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while April has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI.O) stock?
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Is SMCI a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
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