Should You Buy Shake Shack Inc (SHAK) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
88.030
1 Day change
0.18%
52 Week Range
144.650
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Shake Shack Inc. (SHAK) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. While the company has growth potential and positive analyst sentiment, recent financial performance, technical indicators, and news sentiment suggest caution. The stock's pre-market price is slightly down, and there are no strong proprietary trading signals to indicate an immediate opportunity. It is better to wait for clearer positive catalysts or improved financial trends before investing.
Technical Analysis
The technical indicators for SHAK show a neutral to bearish trend. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding, RSI is at 38.595 (neutral zone), and moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision. Key support levels are at $90.282 and $86.809, with resistance at $95.904 and $101.526. The stock is trading below its pivot level, indicating potential weakness.
Options Data
Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Technical Summary
Sell
6
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Analysts have a generally positive outlook, with multiple upgrades and price targets ranging from $105 to $
The company's revenue grew 15.93% YoY in Q3
Long-term growth potential with plans for significant expansion in North America.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Q4 revenue fell below expectations, and FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance was lowered due to rising costs and competition.
Net income dropped significantly (-222.43% YoY), and EPS declined (-215.38% YoY) in Q3
Technical indicators suggest a neutral to bearish trend, with no strong buy signals.
Stock trend analysis predicts a potential decline of -6.24% over the next month.
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, Shake Shack's revenue increased by 15.93% YoY to $367.41M, but net income dropped by -222.43% YoY to $12.5M. EPS fell by -215.38% YoY to $0.3. Gross margin improved to 40.65%, up 7.31% YoY. Despite revenue growth, profitability metrics are concerning.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analysts are generally optimistic about SHAK, with recent upgrades from Morgan Stanley (Overweight, $125 target) and Deutsche Bank (Buy, $105 target). Raymond James maintains a Strong Buy with a $140 target. However, Barclays and Wells Fargo have lowered their price targets due to sector challenges. The consensus reflects confidence in long-term growth but acknowledges near-term headwinds.
Wall Street analysts forecast SHAK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SHAK is 110.29 USD with a low forecast of 85 USD and a high forecast of 150 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
19 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SHAK stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SHAK is 110.29 USD with a low forecast of 85 USD and a high forecast of 150 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 87.870
Low
85
Averages
110.29
High
150
Current: 87.870
Low
85
Averages
110.29
High
150
Raymond James
Strong Buy
maintain
$140
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
Raymond James
Price Target
$140
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
maintain
Strong Buy
Reason
Shake Shack can sustain solidly positive comps in 2026, and continue to accelerate high-ROI unit growth, Raymond James tells investors in a research note. The firm, which named Shake Shack as a top long idea, has a Strong Buy rating and $140 price target on the shares.
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight -> Overweight
upgrade
$115 -> $125
2026-01-20
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$115 -> $125
2026-01-20
upgrade
Equal Weight -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley upgraded Shake Shack to Overweight from Equal Weight with a price target of $125, up from $115. The firm adjusted ratings in the restaurants and foodservice distributors group as part of its 2026 outlook. The analyst sees attractive longer term growth in fast casual and beverage. Morgan Stanley has fewer structural concerns as estimates and multiples for these names have been "reset appropriately," the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm skews "relatively cautious" on franchised fast food.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for SHAK