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SDRL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
44.950
1 Day change
-1.01%
52 Week Range
46.550
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Seadrill Ltd (SDRL) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the technical indicators show some bullish momentum, the lack of significant positive catalysts, weak financial performance, and hedge fund selling suggest a cautious approach. Holding the stock for now is more prudent.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are moderately bullish. The MACD is positive and expanding, the RSI is neutral at 65.13, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 45.816, R2: 46.918), which could limit immediate upside potential.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Citi upgraded the stock to Neutral from Sell with an increased price target of $46, citing robust Q4 EBITDA and improving recovery visibility.

  • BTIG raised its price target to $50, highlighting M&A activity and tightening market conditions in the offshore sector.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling the stock, with a 239.59% increase in selling activity last quarter.

  • Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed a significant drop in net income (-109.90% YoY) and EPS (-110.13% YoY), despite revenue growth.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Seadrill's revenue increased by 26.28% YoY to $346M, but net income dropped to -$10M (-109.90% YoY), and EPS fell to -0.16 (-110.13% YoY). Gross margin improved significantly to 13.29%, up 160.08% YoY, indicating some operational efficiency gains.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. Citi upgraded the stock to Neutral with a price target of $46, while BTIG maintained a Buy rating with a $50 target. Barclays raised its target to $41 but kept an Equal Weight rating. Fearnley downgraded the stock to Hold with a $43 target, reflecting cautious optimism.

Wall Street analysts forecast SDRL stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast SDRL stock price to fall
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 45.410
sliders
Low
32
Averages
44.2
High
80
Current: 45.410
sliders
Low
32
Averages
44.2
High
80
Citi
Sell -> Neutral
upgrade
$32 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$32 -> $46
AI Analysis
2026-03-04
upgrade
Sell -> Neutral
Reason
Citi upgraded Seadrill to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $46, up from $32.
Citi
Scott Gruber
Sell -> Neutral
upgrade
$32 -> $46
2026-03-04
Reason
Citi
Scott Gruber
Price Target
$32 -> $46
2026-03-04
upgrade
Sell -> Neutral
Reason
As previously reported, Citi analyst Scott Gruber upgraded Seadrill to Neutral from Sell with a price target of $46, up from $32. The company delivered robust Q4 EBITDA, exceeding consensus expectations by 7%, and while the offshore market continues to progress through a soft patch, visibility toward recovery is improving, supported by ongoing contracting activity and dayrate resiliency, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Seadrill also reaffirmed its expectation of a more pronounced second-half recovery, with momentum accelerating thereafter as tendering activity broadens, the firm added.
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