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The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. The company has positive developments, such as the completion of Phase 2 study enrollment and international expansion, but lacks specific revenue guidance, which is a concern. The Q&A reveals some uncertainties, like the FDA filing process and unclear patient mix insights. However, there are no significant safety issues, and the company is exploring new market opportunities, like China. Considering the market cap, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
EPS Reported EPS is $-0.81, a decrease from expectations of $-0.69.
Revenue Revenue from global sales of IMCIVREE was $37.7 million in Q1 2025, an increase of $11.7 million or 45% compared to Q1 2024.
R&D Expenses R&D expenses were $37 million for Q1 2025, down from $128.7 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to decreased spending on various trials.
SG&A Expenses SG&A expenses were $39.1 million for Q1 2025, compared to $34.4 million for Q1 2024, reflecting a modest increase.
Cash Used in Operations Cash used in operations was approximately $40.4 million, compared to $19 million in Q4 2024, due to seasonal increases and a $6.3 million payment to reacquire rights in China.
Cash on Hand Ended the quarter with $314.5 million in cash, sufficient to cover operations into 2027.
Weighted Average Common Shares Outstanding 63.1 million shares outstanding in Q1 2025, up from 60.1 million in Q1 2024, primarily due to shares sold under the ATM program.
US Revenue Percentage US revenue decreased to 65% of overall product revenue in Q1 from 74% in Q4 2024, affected by an inventory swing.
IMCIVREE Demand: Demand for IMCIVREE remains strong, with a consistent number of new prescriptions and a 14% increase in patients on reimbursed therapy globally in Q1 2025.
Bivamelagon Phase 2 Readout: The Phase 2 readout for bivamelagon is expected in Q3 2025.
Setmelanotide Efficacy: Setmelanotide showed a 16.5% reduction in BMI in the treatment cohort, indicating its potential effectiveness for patients with hypothalamic obesity.
Medicaid Coverage Expansion: Secured IMCIVREE-specific policies in three additional states, now covering over 95% of Medicaid lives.
International Market Growth: International sales of IMCIVREE increased by $3.1 million, driven by growth in France, Germany, and Italy.
Cash Runway: Projected cash runway extends into 2027, with $314.5 million in cash on hand.
Operational Efficiency: R&D expenses decreased by approximately 10% from Q4 2024 due to reduced spending on trials.
FDA Interaction: Rhythm is on track for a Q3 filing with the FDA for acquired hypothalamic obesity, with positive interactions noted.
Focus on Endocrine Neurologists: The company is concentrating efforts on endocrine neurologists, who account for half of the prescribers for BBS.
Earnings Expectations: Rhythm Pharmaceuticals missed earnings expectations with a reported EPS of $-0.81, compared to expectations of $-0.69.
Regulatory Risks: The company is preparing for a Q3 filing with the FDA, but any delays or issues in the regulatory process could impact timelines and market entry.
Inventory Management: Significant inventory swings at the specialty pharmacy affected revenue recognition, with a $8.3 million inventory swing impacting Q1 results.
Patient Compliance: A modest decrease in patient compliance was noted, which could affect future revenue and treatment outcomes.
Market Access Challenges: Transition of patients to new insurance plans at the beginning of the year temporarily increased reliance on the Bridge program for free drug access.
Economic Factors: The company faces economic pressures that could impact pricing strategies and overall market demand for its products.
Operational Expenses: R&D expenses decreased but remain significant, and the company anticipates ongoing operational expenses that could affect profitability.
Cash Flow: The company reported cash used in operations of approximately $40.4 million, indicating a need for careful cash management moving forward.
Phase 3 Trial Filing: Rhythm Pharmaceuticals is on track for a Q3 filing regarding the Phase 3 trial on acquired hypothalamic obesity, with an in-person Type D meeting scheduled with the FDA.
IMCIVREE Demand: Demand for IMCIVREE remains strong, with a consistent number of new prescriptions and a 14% increase in patients on reimbursed therapy globally.
Medicaid Coverage Expansion: Secured IMCIVREE-specific policies in three additional states, now covering over 95% of Medicaid lives.
International Growth: Continued growth in the number of patients on paid therapy outside the U.S., particularly in France, Germany, and Italy.
Upcoming Data Presentations: Looking forward to presenting data from the Phase 2 study and real-world evidence at major European medical conferences.
Revenue Expectations: Revenue from global sales of IMCIVREE was $37.7 million in Q1 2025, with expectations for continued growth despite inventory swings.
Cash Runway: Projected cash runway into 2027, with $314.5 million in cash on hand.
Operating Expenses Guidance: Guidance for non-GAAP operating expenses remains unchanged at approximately $285 million to $315 million.
R&D Expenses: R&D expenses for Q1 2025 were $37 million, down from $128.7 million in Q1 2024.
Share Repurchase Program: None
The company shows strong financial performance with a 54% YoY revenue increase and sustainable growth plans for BBS sales. The upcoming launch of IMCIVREE in hypothalamic obesity and positive payer feedback suggest potential market expansion. However, management's lack of clarity on certain aspects and the absence of a go/no-go decision for the PWS Phase III trial may cause some uncertainty. Considering the market cap, the overall sentiment is positive, predicting a 2% to 8% stock price increase over the next two weeks.
The earnings call summary indicates mixed results. The company has strong financial metrics, with a significant cash runway and international expansion. However, the Q&A section reveals uncertainties in clinical trials and a lack of clear guidance, which could dampen investor sentiment. The equity offering and increased expenses may also weigh on the stock. Overall, the market cap suggests moderate volatility, leading to a neutral prediction for the stock price movement over the next two weeks.
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. The company has positive developments, such as the completion of Phase 2 study enrollment and international expansion, but lacks specific revenue guidance, which is a concern. The Q&A reveals some uncertainties, like the FDA filing process and unclear patient mix insights. However, there are no significant safety issues, and the company is exploring new market opportunities, like China. Considering the market cap, these factors suggest a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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