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Not a good buy right now for an impatient buyer. RSI is trading right around the pivot (~18.09) after a strong pre-market pop (+6.58%) and a modest regular-session gain (+1.80%) while the S&P 500 is down (-0.53%), which raises the odds you’re paying an inflated entry versus waiting for confirmation. The technical setup is neutral (no strong trend signal), and the pattern-based forward view flags elevated 1-month downside risk (-11.89%). With earnings (QDEC 2025) on 2026-02-17 after hours and Colombia tax headlines already affecting estimates, the near-term risk/reward is not compelling enough to chase today. If already owned, holding makes sense; if looking to initiate, this is a skip today rather than a buy-now.
Trend/positioning: Price (~17.995) is essentially at the pivot (18.089), implying a market in balance rather than a clean breakout or breakdown. Momentum: MACD histogram is negative (-0.133) but ‘negatively contracting’ (bearish momentum is easing, not reversing). RSI(6) ~53.97 is neutral—no oversold bounce signal and no overbought breakout signal. Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation/indecision rather than a strong trend. Levels: Immediate resistance is the pivot area 18.089 and then R1 19.336 (next upside checkpoint). Support sits at S1 16.842, then S2 16.071 (where buyers would need to defend if momentum fades). Short-horizon pattern read: Similar-pattern stats imply modest upside next day/week (+1.14% / +0.62%) but materially negative bias over the next month (-11.89%), which weakens the case for an impatient buy today near the pivot.

Strong operating momentum: 2025/Q3 revenue +19.73% YoY with profitability inflecting (net income +408.82% YoY; EPS +500% YoY).
Options market positioning is heavily call-skewed (very low put/call ratios), typically reflecting bullish sentiment.
Analysts generally constructive on the name (Buy/Positive ratings maintained and targets largely above current price), with some viewing RSI as an ‘easier to own’ online gaming name.
Potential event catalyst ahead: QDEC 2025 earnings on 2026-02-17 (after hours) could re-rate the stock if results/guide beat.
Colombia gaming tax impact: Multiple analysts adjusted estimates for a new/ongoing ~19% gaming revenue tax in Colombia; this is a tangible earnings headwind and can reintroduce headline risk.
Technicals are not giving a clean entry: neutral RSI, negative MACD (even if improving), and converging moving averages = consolidation rather than a confirmed uptrend.
Pattern-based odds show notable 1-month downside bias (-11.89%), which is unfavorable for a buy-now decision.
No supportive near-term news flow in the past week to justify chasing a pre-market gap; gaps without fresh catalysts often fade back toward support.
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3. Growth: Revenue rose to 277.911M (+19.73% YoY), showing continued top-line expansion. Profitability: Net income increased to 6.055M (+408.82% YoY) and EPS to 0.06 (+500% YoY), indicating a meaningful profitability inflection. Margins: Gross margin slipped to 30.31% (-2.54% YoY), a mild negative—growth is strong, but margin pressure bears watching (especially with incremental tax/regulatory costs).
Recent trend: Price targets have been mixed-to-slightly down due to Colombia tax effects, but ratings remain constructive overall.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals