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RITM Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Rithm Capital Corp (RITM) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
8.480
1 Day change
-6.04%
52 Week Range
12.740
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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Rithm Capital Corp is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators show bearish trends, the financial performance has significantly declined, and hedge funds are selling. While analysts maintain a positive outlook with Buy ratings, the lack of recent positive news, weak financials, and bearish technicals suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for RITM are bearish. The MACD is below zero and negatively expanding, RSI indicates the stock is oversold at 13.304, and moving averages are in a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its support level of 9.101, with resistance at 9.918.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The Open Interest Put-Call Ratio indicates a slight bullish sentiment, while the Option Volume Put-Call Ratio suggests bearish sentiment in the short term. Implied volatility is high at 36.83 with an IV percentile of 94.42, indicating elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts maintain Buy ratings and positive outlooks, citing strong ROEs and constructive outlooks. Recent acquisitions have increased earnings potential in the asset management segment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling significantly, with a 284.34% increase in selling activity. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed sharp declines in revenue (-24.86% YoY), net income (-79.82% YoY), and EPS (-82.00% YoY). No recent news or congress trading data to support a positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Rithm Capital's financials showed significant declines. Revenue dropped to $1.36 billion (-24.86% YoY), net income fell to $53.12 million (-79.82% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.09 (-82.00% YoY). Gross margin also declined to 68.87% (-8.34% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts maintain a positive outlook with Buy ratings. UBS and Piper Sandler recently lowered price targets to $15 but reiterated Buy and Overweight ratings. Analysts highlight strong ROEs, constructive outlooks, and the positive impact of recent acquisitions.

Wall Street analysts forecast RITM stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RITM stock price to rise
6 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 9.030
sliders
Low
14
Averages
14.92
High
16
Current: 9.030
sliders
Low
14
Averages
14.92
High
16
UBS
Buy
downgrade
$16 -> $15
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$16 -> $15
AI Analysis
2026-02-06
downgrade
Buy
Reason
UBS lowered the firm's price target on Rithm Capital to $15 from $16 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Piper Sandler
Overweight
downgrade
$15
2026-02-04
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$15
2026-02-04
downgrade
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler lowered the firm's price target on Rithm Capital to $15 from $15.50 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm notes Rithm posted a solid operating result. Shares outperformed given Rithm's core beat, solid ROEs, and constructive outlook, Piper adds.
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