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RIO Should I Buy

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OverviewStock Price PredictionTechnicalValuationFinancialsEarningsShould I BuyNews & Events
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Intellectia

Should You Buy Rio Tinto PLC (RIO) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
90.350
1 Day change
0.16%
52 Week Range
101.530
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Rio Tinto PLC is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock is experiencing negative price momentum, lacks significant positive catalysts, and has mixed analyst sentiment. The absence of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals further reduces confidence in a short-term opportunity. Holding or waiting for a better entry point is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The stock's MACD is negative and expanding downward (-1.284), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 22.476, which is close to oversold territory but still neutral. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The current price ($90.18) is near the first support level (S1: $90.948), with further downside risk to S2 ($87.958).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The implied volatility is high (IV percentile: 94.82), suggesting elevated uncertainty. Option volume is heavily skewed toward calls, but this does not align with the bearish price action.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • The joint venture with the Western Australian Government to build the Dampier Seawater Desalination Plant could support long-term growth and sustainability initiatives.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Recent analyst downgrades from Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and others highlight valuation concerns and limited upside potential. The stock has rallied significantly over the past six months, making it less attractive at current levels. Additionally, the MACD and RSI indicate bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

No financial data available for analysis.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed to negative. Barclays, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock, citing valuation concerns and seasonal headwinds. However, JPMorgan and BofA maintain positive ratings with high price targets, reflecting long-term confidence in the company's operations.

Wall Street analysts forecast RIO stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RIO stock price to fall
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 90.210
sliders
Low
68
Averages
83.7
High
129.5
Current: 90.210
sliders
Low
68
Averages
83.7
High
129.5
JPMorgan
Dominic O'Kane
Overweight -> Neutral
downgrade
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
Reason
JPMorgan
Dominic O'Kane
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
downgrade
Overweight -> Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan analyst Dominic O'Kane downgraded Rio Tinto to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of 7,220 GBp, down from 7,840 GBp. The firm says events in the Middle East bring risks that are not adequately discounted into the shares of European metals and mining stocks. The analyst reversed JPMorgan's previously positive view on the group and turns negative. It introduced a downside scenario for copper and iron ore as a new base case.
Bernstein
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$83 -> $77
2026-03-09
New
Reason
Bernstein
Price Target
$83 -> $77
2026-03-09
New
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Bernstein lowered the firm's price target on Rio Tinto to $77 from $83 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. Commodity selection is arguably the most important factor driving returns in metals and mining land, the firm says. Bernstein believes that valuation is a close second. The firm is refreshing its Mining Valuation Book and updating its valuation tools to assess ten stocks within its coverage universe, along with their peers.
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