Should I Buy Rio Tinto PLC Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. RIO has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
RIO stock price ended at $62.39 on Monday, after losing -0.4%
The Rio Tinto PLC stock price decreased by -0.4% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 61.34 to 62.39. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.81% , ranging from a day low of $61.3 to a day high of 62.41. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.73% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -208.95K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.41M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 149.14M.
RIO Technical Signals
RIO(Rio Tinto PLC Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-23. The total price change during this trend is +4.05%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of RIO over the last 5 trading days is 158.14M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
RIO Moving Average Analysis
Rio Tinto PLC's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $63.27433666666666, and $64.73166666666665. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $58.558996666666665, and $57.10166666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
RIO Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Rio Tinto PLC(RIO) as of 12 May 2025 is 20.14%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 59.98 to 61.41. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
3.091
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
2.94
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.808
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
93.591
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
116.603
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
95.537
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-3.687
Bearish
RIO Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Rio Tinto PLC(RIO), our algorithm predicts RIO's 1-month price at $62.26, with an -0.6%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.40%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Rio Tinto PLC (RIO.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -0.6% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ASH.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
RIO
No Data
ASH
Down: -0.6%Similarity: 97.4%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ASH.N
97.40%
-0.60%
LYV.N
97.31%
+6.78%
ARCC.O
97.08%
+1.67%
SPXC.N
96.99%
+8.62%
LAMR.O
96.94%
+0.14%
HCC.N
96.79%
+3.54%
PDM.N
96.69%
+9.06%
ESI.N
96.65%
-0.30%
RIO Seasonality Analysis
Based on RIO's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in RIO. In contrast,Decemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Rio Tinto PLC (RIO.N) stock in December has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while August has the lowest probability (20.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Rio Tinto PLC. (RIO)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Rio Tinto PLC (RIO.N) stock?
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