Should I Buy Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. REFI has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
REFI stock price ended at $15.09 on Friday, after rising 0.94%
The Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc stock price increased by 0.94% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 14.79 to 14.95. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.17% , ranging from a day low of $14.76 to a day high of 15.08. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.39% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -4.44K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 98.77K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.47M.
REFI Technical Signals
REFI(Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 0 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +1.98%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of REFI over the last 5 trading days is 1.04M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
REFI Moving Average Analysis
Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 17, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $15.289653333333332, and $15.572333333333331. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $14.375013333333333, and $14.092333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
REFI Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc(REFI) as of 12 May 2025 is 17.26%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 14.97 to 15.01. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
0
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.676
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.49
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.156
Bullish
0 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
No Data
REFI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc(REFI), our algorithm predicts REFI's 1-month price at $13.12, with an -12.39%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.83%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -12.39% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with STLA.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.83%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
REFI
No Data
STLA
Down: -12.39%Similarity: 96.83%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
STLA.N
96.83%
-12.39%
SBGI.O
96.68%
-5.86%
NTGR.O
96.66%
-1.58%
RGS.N
96.53%
-3.84%
OC.N
96.31%
+1.72%
LTC.N
96.21%
-1.39%
V.N
96.12%
-0.21%
FITB.O
96.12%
-3.71%
CCL.N
96.05%
+3.15%
NLY.N
96.00%
+1.36%
REFI Seasonality Analysis
Based on REFI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in REFI. In contrast,Januaryoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI.O) stock in January has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc. (REFI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI.O) stock?
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI.O) stock in a year?
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Which bearish technical signals does REFI have?
Is REFI a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
What is the trend of Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc (REFI)'s moving average?
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