Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PTON has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
PTON stock price ended at $6.22 on Wednesday, after rising1.72%
The Peloton Interactive Inc stock price increased by 1.72% on the last trading day (18 Jun 2025), rising from 6.2 to 6.22. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.65% , ranging from a day low of $6.035 to a day high of 6.255. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -16.73% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -12.01M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 15.43M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 94.93M.
PTON Technical Signals
PTON(Peloton Interactive Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-03. The total price change during this trend is -6.61%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PTON over the last 5 trading days is 103.11M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
PTON Moving Average Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 20, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $8.231356666666667, and $8.978166666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.814976666666667, and $5.068166666666667. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PTON Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 22.01%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 6.93 to 6.12. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
14.751
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-193.19
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
6.209
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-90.537
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.113
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-1.25
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.00929
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
10-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA
--
Bearish
PTON Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON), our algorithm predicts PTON's 1-month price at $6.61, with an -6.86%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.02%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock, as of Sunday, June 1, 2025 , forecasts a -6.86% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LCUT.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.02%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PTON
No Data
LCUT
Down: -6.86%Similarity: 95.02%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
LCUT.O
95.02%
-6.86%
STZ.N
94.49%
+9.53%
ATHM.N
94.32%
-0.69%
PUK.N
94.11%
-4.76%
ICAD.O
93.85%
+11.20%
RIO.N
93.76%
-7.21%
ANF.N
93.70%
+19.98%
MARA.O
93.58%
-17.22%
IPG.N
93.57%
+10.55%
LYTS.O
93.53%
-4.80%
PTON Seasonality Analysis
Based on PTON's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is50.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PTON. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
People Also Watch
FAQ
Should I buy Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PTON has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
PTON's stock price fell by -25.00% in 2023,increased by 49.48% in 2024, and went down by 29.56% in 2025.
Bearish technical signals of PTON include: AO_5_34 < 0, MOM_10 < 0, MACD_12_26_9 < 0, 10-day SMA crosses below 20-day SMA, 10-day SMA crosses below 200-day SMA.
Is PTON a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
PTON has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for PTON is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of PTON.
What is the trend of Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON)'s moving average?
Peloton Interactive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of June 20 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for PTON stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock, as of June 01 2025, forecasts a -6.86% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LCUT stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.02%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for PTON Stock?
### **Price Prediction for PTON Stock in 2025**
Peloton Interactive (PTON) is expected to reach a price target of **$8.50** by the end of 2025, driven by its strategic initiatives such as expanding into gyms and launching a peer-to-peer marketplace. However, the stock faces challenges in revenue growth and subscription numbers, which may limit its upside.
What is price prediction 2030 for PTON Stock?
### **Price Prediction for PTON Stock in 2030**
Based on current trends and analysis, Peloton (PTON) stock is predicted to reach **$20 per share** by 2030. This forecast considers the company's strategic initiatives, such as expanding into gyms and launching a peer-to-peer marketplace, which could drive revenue growth and improve profitability. However, the stock's volatility and market sentiment may influence the actual price.