PTON Stock Price Prediction

Peloton Interactive Inc

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6.670

-0.310(-4.440%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Peloton Interactive Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PTON has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

PTON stock price ended at $6.67 on Thursday, after losing -4.44%

The Peloton Interactive Inc stock price decreased by -4.44% on the last trading day (08 May 2025), dropping from 6.99 to 6.98. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.84% , ranging from a day low of $6.9134 to a day high of 7.11. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 16.72% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 1.67M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 13.54M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 95.10M.

PTON Technical Signals

PTON(Peloton Interactive Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-21. The total price change during this trend is +31.20%. Recently, the price has decreased with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bearish signal. The average turnover of PTON over the last 5 trading days is 83.41M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

PTON Moving Average Analysis

Peloton Interactive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Thursday, May 8, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $7.332311533333334, and $7.763933333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.935755133333334, and $5.504133333333335. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

PTON Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON) as of 06 May 2025 is 22.45%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 6.89 to 6.99. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

0.712

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.194

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

90.525

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

101.375

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

98.049

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-8.122

Bearish

PTON Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON), our algorithm predicts PTON's 1-month price at $6.59, with an -3.31%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.92%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -3.31% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SBS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.92%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

PTON

Future prediction

Up: -3.31%

SBS

Down: -3.31%Similarity: 95.92%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

SBS.N

95.92%

-3.31%

PTON Seasonality Analysis

Based on PTON's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PTON. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.