Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PTON has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
PTON stock price ended at $7.57 on Friday, after rising4.99%
The Peloton Interactive Inc stock price increased by 4.99% on the last trading day (23 May 2025), rising from 6.99 to 7.57. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 9.83% , ranging from a day low of $6.92 to a day high of 7.6. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 22.89% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -437.37K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 20.95M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 153.85M.
PTON Technical Signals
PTON(Peloton Interactive Inc Corp) has 6 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-21. The total price change during this trend is +42.29%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PTON over the last 5 trading days is 125.91M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
PTON Moving Average Analysis
Peloton Interactive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 26, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $7.738053333333334, and $8.326333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.834613333333334, and $5.246333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PTON Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON) as of 23 May 2025 is 25.03%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 7.21 to 7.57. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Buy
Sell
3
Buy
6
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
6 Bullish Signals
6 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.443
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.41
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.171
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
7.57
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
80.998
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
191.031
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-1.685
Bearish
PTON Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Peloton Interactive Inc(PTON), our algorithm predicts PTON's 1-month price at $7.42, with an 17.01%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 96.94%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 17.01% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VLRS.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.94%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PTON
Future prediction
Up: 17.01%
VLRS
Up: 17.01%Similarity: 96.94%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
VLRS.N
96.94%
+17.01%
CNI.N
96.85%
-1.26%
HP.N
96.83%
+21.29%
BEN.N
96.44%
-5.32%
AEP.O
96.43%
-7.06%
APAM.N
96.31%
+2.23%
ERNA.O
96.21%
-1.16%
ICMB.O
96.21%
+7.42%
NATL.N
96.20%
-7.69%
UBS.N
96.18%
+7.50%
PTON Seasonality Analysis
Based on PTON's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is66.67%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PTON. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PTON has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while March has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Peloton Interactive Inc. (PTON)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
PTON's stock price fell by -25.00% in 2023,increased by 49.48% in 2024, and went down by 14.27% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does PTON have?
Bullish technical signals of PTON include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, 5-day SMA crosses above 20-day SMA, 5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA.
Is PTON a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
PTON has 6 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for PTON is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of PTON.
What is the trend of Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON)'s moving average?
Peloton Interactive Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 26 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for PTON stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a 17.01% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with VLRS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 96.94%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for PTON Stock?
The price prediction for PTON stock in 2025 is expected to range between **$8 and $11**. This forecast is based on analyst upgrades, cost-cutting measures, and potential revenue growth, while considering challenges in subscriber acquisition and hardware sales. The stock's technical indicators suggest a neutral position with potential upside.
What is price prediction 2030 for PTON Stock?
Peloton (PTON) stock is predicted to reach **$15-$20 by 2030**, driven by continued cost-cutting measures, improved profitability, and potential revenue growth from new initiatives. The stock's current price of $6.28 reflects ongoing challenges, but analysts expect upside as Peloton stabilizes its subscriber base and expands offerings.