POST Relative Valuation
POST's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, POST is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Post Holdings Inc (POST) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 13.91 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 24.77. The fair price of Post Holdings Inc (POST) is between 115.64 to 253.07 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 103.14 USD , Post Holdings Inc is Undervalued By 10.81%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
115.64-253.07
Current Price：103.14
10.81%
Undervalued
13.91
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
7.72
EV/EBITDA
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) has a current EV/EBITDA of 7.72. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 10.20. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.61, Undervalued between 6.61 and 8.41, Fairly Valued between 12.00 and 8.41, Overvalued between 12.00 and 13.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.80. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 7.72 falls within the Undervalued range.
12.41
EV/EBIT
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) has a current EV/EBIT of 12.41. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 16.99. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.07, Undervalued between 10.07 and 13.53, Fairly Valued between 20.45 and 13.53, Overvalued between 20.45 and 23.91, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.91. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 12.41 falls within the Undervalued range.
0.67
PS
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) has a current PS of 0.67. The 5-year average PS is 0.87. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.54, Undervalued between 0.54 and 0.71, Fairly Valued between 1.04 and 0.71, Overvalued between 1.04 and 1.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.20. The current Forward PS of 0.67 falls within the Undervalued range.
5.82
P/OCF
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) has a current P/OCF of 5.82. The 5-year average P/OCF is 8.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.73, Undervalued between -3.73 and 2.53, Fairly Valued between 15.06 and 2.53, Overvalued between 15.06 and 21.32, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.32. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.82 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
9.10
P/FCF
Post Holdings Inc. (POST) has a current P/FCF of 9.10. The 5-year average P/FCF is 11.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.67, Undervalued between 0.67 and 5.83, Fairly Valued between 16.16 and 5.83, Overvalued between 16.16 and 21.33, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.33. The current Forward P/FCF of 9.10 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Post Holdings Inc (POST) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.56 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -1.66% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.80, the current P/B ratio is about -14.96% higher. Post Holdings Inc (POST) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 8.49%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 6.38%, the current FCF yield is approximately 33.08% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.19% , the current FCF yield is about 37.06% lower.
1.53
P/B
Median3y
1.56
Median5y
1.80
8.49
FCF Yield
Median3y
6.38
Median5y
6.19
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for POST's competitors is 2.12, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Post Holdings Inc Corp (POST) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.67, which is -68.31% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -2.35%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of POST decreased by 9.12% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 14.63 to 18.63.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -2.35%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of POST in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.
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