POST Should I Buy
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Post Holdings Inc is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the company shows some positive growth in revenue and strategic flexibility, its declining net income, EPS, and gross margin, coupled with insider selling and neutral hedge fund sentiment, indicate caution. Additionally, the lack of strong trading signals and mixed technical indicators suggest waiting for a better entry point.
The MACD histogram is positive at 1.167, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting, suggesting weakening momentum. RSI is neutral at 64.469, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong directional trend. Key resistance levels are at 114.896 and 119.236, while support levels are at 107.871 and 100.846.
Post Holdings reported strong Q1 adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by its Foodservice segment. The company is actively pursuing M&A opportunities and completed strategic divestitures, enhancing capital allocation flexibility. Aggressive share repurchases also signal confidence from management.
Insider selling has increased significantly by 397.94% over the last month, and hedge funds remain neutral. Options data reflects bearish sentiment, and there is no recent congress trading data to indicate political interest.
In Q1 2026, revenue increased by 10.12% YoY to $2.17 billion, showcasing growth. However, net income dropped by 14.56% YoY to $96.8 million, EPS declined by 3.93% YoY to $1.71, and gross margin fell by 2.46% YoY to 26.98%.
Analysts have recently raised price targets, with Barclays increasing it to $127 and Wells Fargo to $120, reflecting optimism in the company's outlook. However, earlier target reductions in late 2025 highlight concerns about volume trends and a soft FY26 outlook.
