Quarterly Results
PDD Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, PDD remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 124.56B and an EPS of 20.90.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.83%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 8.68%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.04% . These revisions correlate with a -8.15% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in PDD long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how PDD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PDD sees a +1.40% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -3.04% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.71%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -1.30% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -1.99% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of PDD's latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?
PDD reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-18, showcasing a revenue of 108.28B against an estimate of 108.73B, resulting in a -0.42% surprise. The EPS was 2.97, surpassing the expected 2.21 by 34.39% . The stock experienced a -7.33% price change on the earnings day and a -12.24% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did PDD's stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?
Following PDD's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-18, the stock price moved by -7.33% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -12.24% change. Historically, PDD's stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.40% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -3.04% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PDD for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate PDD’s annual revenue to reach 124.56B, while the EPS is projected at 20.90. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 0.83% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.04% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does PDD's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between PDD's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 0.83%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.04% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from PDD's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, PDD's stock price typically moves by +1.40% in the 10 days before its earnings and -3.04% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 20.90 and revenue of 124.56B.
What is the sentiment in PDD Holdings Inc (PDD) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong net income growth and cash generation are positive, but declining non-GAAP operating profit margin and increased competition are concerning. Management's focus on long-term investments over short-term profitability suggests fluctuating financial performance. The Q&A reveals management's acknowledgment of competition and regulatory risks, but lacks specific guidance, which may unsettle investors. The focus on long-term strategies and merchant support may stabilize the stock, but immediate reactions are likely neutral due to uncertainties and lack of strong short-term catalysts.

