Should I Buy Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PBR has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
PBR stock price ended at $12.02 on Friday, after losing-0.25%
The Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras stock price decreased by -0.25% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), dropping from 12.08 to 12.02. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.33% , ranging from a day low of $11.825 to a day high of 12.1. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.53% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -464.33K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 20.99M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 251.41M.
PBR Technical Signals
PBR(Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Corp) has 2 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-13. The total price change during this trend is -1.39%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of PBR over the last 5 trading days is 277.06M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
PBR Moving Average Analysis
Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $12.465700000000002, and $12.905000000000001. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $11.0443, and $10.605. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PBR Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras(PBR) as of 12 May 2025 is 15.74%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 11.80 to 12.07. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
2
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
2 Bullish Signals
2 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.0832
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.41
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.0887
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
88.385
Bearish
PBR Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras(PBR), our algorithm predicts PBR's 1-month price at $11.80, with an -1.8%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 91.71%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -1.8% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ASX.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PBR
No Data
ASX
Down: -1.8%Similarity: 91.71%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ASX.N
91.71%
-1.80%
AZZ.N
90.21%
-3.76%
SNCR.O
90.07%
-20.15%
PBR Seasonality Analysis
Based on PBR's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in PBR. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras. (PBR)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PBR has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras. (PBR)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
PBR's stock price rose by 112.08% in 2023,decreased by -2.44% in 2024, and went down by 9.21% in 2025.
Is PBR a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
PBR has 2 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for PBR is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of PBR.
What is the trend of Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR)'s moving average?
Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of May 19 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal.
What is price prediction for PBR stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a -1.8% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ASX stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 91.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for PBR Stock?
Petrobras (PBR) stock is expected to reach **$12.90 to $13.10** by the end of 2025. This prediction is based on the stock's undervaluation, positive legislative changes, and bullish technical indicators.
What is price prediction 2030 for PBR Stock?
Petrobras (PBR) is expected to reach a price target of **$20 by 2030**, driven by improving oil prices and cost-cutting measures. The stock is currently undervalued with a forward P/E of 4.35, and Jefferies' upgrade to Strong Buy with a $15 target highlights its potential.