PBR Stock Price Prediction

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras

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12.075

+0.275(+2.330%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PBR has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

PBR stock price ended at $12.075 on Monday, after rising 2.33%

The Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras stock price increased by 2.33% on the last trading day (12 May 2025), rising from 11.72 to 11.8. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.81% , ranging from a day low of $11.62 to a day high of 11.83. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 2.79% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -8.42M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 21.93M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 257.86M.

PBR Technical Signals

PBR(Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras Corp) has 2 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-02. The total price change during this trend is +1.64%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PBR over the last 5 trading days is 293.81M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

PBR Moving Average Analysis

Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Monday, May 12, 2025, with 3 negative signals and 1 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.892880026666669, and $12.145000026666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $11.077120026666668, and $10.825000026666668. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

PBR Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras(PBR) as of 09 May 2025 is 11.11%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 11.65 to 11.80. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.32

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

11.8

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

182.868

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-0.859

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.328

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

86.845

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-4.545

Bearish

PBR Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras(PBR), our algorithm predicts PBR's 1-month price at $12.01, with an 1.82%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.82%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 1.82% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LFWD.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.82%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

PBR

Future prediction

Up: 1.82%

LFWD

Up: 1.82%Similarity: 98.82%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

LFWD.O

98.82%

+1.82%

OIS.N

98.57%

+36.51%

SNCR.O

98.56%

-14.39%

VXRT.O

98.35%

-9.33%

UPC.O

98.35%

-71.11%

CYCC.O

98.34%

+10.12%

SFWL.O

98.33%

-5.29%

BGI.A

98.32%

-34.81%

RBBN.O

98.25%

-2.89%

PBR Seasonality Analysis

Based on PBR's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in PBR. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at70.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras (PBR.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (70.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Petroleo Brasileiro SA Petrobras. (PBR)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.