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PAX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.230
1 Day change
-2.85%
52 Week Range
17.800
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Patria Investments Ltd (PAX) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, the financial performance shows significant declines, and there are no recent positive catalysts or trading signals to suggest immediate upside potential. Holding off for a better entry point or further positive developments is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for PAX are bearish. The MACD histogram is negative and expanding downward, the RSI indicates the stock is oversold (14.834), and the moving averages are in a bearish alignment (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its key support level of 11.539, with resistance levels at 13.063 and 13.534.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Option Volume Put-Call Ratio suggests bearish sentiment in the options market, with significantly more put volume than call volume.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • No recent positive news or catalysts. Analysts from Goldman Sachs raised the price target to $20, maintaining a Buy rating, which could indicate long-term potential.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 showed significant declines across key metrics: revenue dropped by 16.39% YoY, net income fell by 37.56% YoY, EPS declined by 37.14% YoY, and gross margin dropped by 28%. Additionally, the stock trend analysis predicts a -4.17% decline in the next week and -2.75% in the next month.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Patria Investments Ltd reported a revenue drop to $133.2M (-16.39% YoY), net income fell to $34.5M (-37.56% YoY), EPS dropped to $0.22 (-37.14% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 41.74% (-28.00% YoY). These figures indicate declining financial health.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed analyst sentiment. BofA recently lowered the price target to $17 from $18 and maintained a Neutral rating, while Goldman Sachs raised the price target to $20 from $18 and maintained a Buy rating.

Wall Street analysts forecast PAX stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PAX stock price to rise
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 11.560
sliders
Low
17
Averages
17
High
17
Current: 11.560
sliders
Low
17
Averages
17
High
17
BofA
Neutral
downgrade
$18 -> $17
AI Analysis
2026-02-09
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$18 -> $17
AI Analysis
2026-02-09
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Patria Investments to $17 from $18 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm made EPS revisions post Q4 reporting for a number of companies in its brokers, asset managers and exchanges coverage.
Goldman Sachs
Buy
upgrade
$18 -> $20
2026-01-28
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$18 -> $20
2026-01-28
upgrade
Buy
Reason
Goldman Sachs raised the firm's price target on Patria Investments to $20 from $18 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
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