PARR Valuation

Par Pacific Holdings Inc

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34.640

+0.77(2.273%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

PARR Relative Valuation

PARR's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, PARR is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.27 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 7.86. The fair price of Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) is between 21.72 to 31.81 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 34.64 USD , Par Pacific Holdings Inc is Overvalued By 8.91%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

21.72-31.81

Current Price：34.64

8.91%

Overvalued

8.98

Trailing

Forward

6.96

EV/EBITDA

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) has a current EV/EBITDA of 6.96. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 43.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -253.06, Undervalued between -253.06 and -104.97, Fairly Valued between 191.20 and -104.97, Overvalued between 191.20 and 339.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 339.28. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 6.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.20

EV/EBIT

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.20. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 7.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -26.29, Undervalued between -26.29 and -9.22, Fairly Valued between 24.92 and -9.22, Overvalued between 24.92 and 41.99, and Strongly Overvalued above 41.99. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.20 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.27

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) has a current PS of 0.27. The 5-year average PS is 0.19. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.09, Undervalued between 0.09 and 0.14, Fairly Valued between 0.24 and 0.14, Overvalued between 0.24 and 0.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.29. The current Forward PS of 0.27 falls within the Overvalued range.

5.83

P/OCF

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) has a current P/OCF of 5.83. The 5-year average P/OCF is 8.76. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -8.77, Undervalued between -8.77 and -0.01, Fairly Valued between 17.52 and -0.01, Overvalued between 17.52 and 26.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 26.29. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.83 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.43

P/FCF

Par Pacific Holdings Inc. (PARR) has a current P/FCF of 11.43. The 5-year average P/FCF is 21.03. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -106.43, Undervalued between -106.43 and -42.70, Fairly Valued between 84.76 and -42.70, Overvalued between 84.76 and 148.49, and Strongly Overvalued above 148.49. The current Forward P/FCF of 11.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.59 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -3.53% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.50, the current P/B ratio is about -38.67% higher. Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.71%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 16.43%, the current FCF yield is approximately -89.58% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.65% , the current FCF yield is about -74.24% lower.

1.53

P/B

Median3y

1.59

Median5y

2.50

1.71

FCF Yield

Median3y

16.43

Median5y

6.65

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for PARR's competitors is 0.26, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Par Pacific Holdings Inc Corp (PARR) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.27, which is 4.07% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -6.15%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

PARR.N

Par Pacific Holdings Inc

Delek US Holdings Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of PARR increased by 96.82% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 0.92 to 3.14.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -6.15%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of PARR in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-6.15%

2.02B → 1.89B

Revenue Growth

241.30%

0.92 → 3.14

Margin Expansion

-138.33%

252.29 → -96.70

P/E Change

96.82%