PARR Should I Buy
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Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company's financial performance has shown significant improvement in net income and EPS, the lack of positive trading signals, insider selling, and neutral hedge fund sentiment suggest caution. Additionally, the stock's technical indicators and options data do not strongly support a compelling entry point right now.
The stock's technical indicators show a bullish trend with moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) and a positive MACD histogram. However, RSI is neutral at 60.485, and the stock is trading near its pivot level of 42.018. Resistance levels are at 43.839 and 44.963, while support levels are at 40.198 and 39.074.
Strong financial performance in 2025/Q3, with net income up 3408.30% YoY and EPS up 3869.23% YoY.
Gross margin increased significantly to 19.02%, up 581.72% YoY.
Analysts maintain an Overweight rating with a price target of $59, indicating potential upside.
Insider selling has increased by 587.06% over the last month, which could indicate a lack of confidence from company insiders.
Hedge funds remain neutral, showing no significant interest in the stock.
No recent news or event-driven catalysts to support a strong upward move.
Stock trend analysis suggests a 70% chance of a -2.59% decline in the next day.
In 2025/Q3, Par Pacific reported a revenue decline of -6.11% YoY to $2.01 billion. However, net income surged by 3408.30% YoY to $262.63 million, EPS increased by 3869.23% YoY to 5.16, and gross margin improved significantly to 19.02%, up 581.72% YoY.
Analyst sentiment is mixed. Piper Sandler lowered the price target to $59 from $62 but maintained an Overweight rating, citing a better refining market in 2026. Mizuho raised the price target to $49 from $45 but kept a Neutral rating, reflecting a cautious stance on refining amidst bearish crude outlooks.
