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PARR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
53.820
1 Day change
1.28%
52 Week Range
54.720
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Par Pacific Holdings Inc (PARR) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The technical analysis shows some bullish trends, but the company's financial performance is weak, with significant YoY declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Options data indicates a bearish sentiment, and there are no strong positive catalysts or recent news to support a buy decision. Analysts' ratings are mixed, with price targets near the current price, suggesting limited upside potential.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show some bullish signs: MACD is positive and expanding, moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near resistance levels (R1: 52.892). However, RSI at 78.468 indicates the stock is approaching overbought territory, which could limit further upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Put-Call Ratios suggest a bearish sentiment in the options market, with significantly higher call activity. Implied volatility (63.9) is high, indicating potential price swings, but the IV rank (16.84) suggests current volatility is relatively low compared to historical levels.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • The MACD and moving averages indicate a bullish technical trend. Analysts have raised price targets recently, reflecting some optimism about the stock's potential.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance is significantly weak, with YoY declines in revenue (-1.04%), net income (-239.51%), and EPS (-251.49%). Gross margin has also dropped drastically (-672.81% YoY). Options data reflects bearish sentiment, and there is no recent news or significant insider/hedge fund activity to act as a catalyst.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company's revenue dropped to $1.813 billion (-1.04% YoY), net income fell to $77.7 million (-239.51% YoY), and EPS decreased to $1.53 (-251.49% YoY). Gross margin also dropped significantly to 6.53% (-672.81% YoY), indicating poor profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts' ratings are mixed. Goldman Sachs raised the price target to $53 (Neutral), TD Cowen raised it to $48 (Buy), and Piper Sandler lowered it to $59 (Overweight). The price targets are close to the current price, suggesting limited upside potential.

Wall Street analysts forecast PARR stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PARR stock price to fall
5 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 53.140
sliders
Low
39
Averages
45.71
High
57
Current: 53.140
sliders
Low
39
Averages
45.71
High
57
Goldman Sachs
Neil Mehta
Neutral
maintain
$44 -> $53
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
New
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Neil Mehta
Price Target
$44 -> $53
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs analyst Neil Mehta raised the firm's price target on Par Pacific to $53 from $44 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Estimates across U.S. Majors and Canadian Oils have been updated to reflect recent Middle East disruptions, with price targets raised despite strong year-to-date equity performance, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
TD Cowen
Buy
maintain
$39 -> $48
2026-02-27
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$39 -> $48
2026-02-27
maintain
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen raised the firm's price target on Par Pacific to $48 from $39 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm said 4Q results were impacted by Rockies maintenance to the downside and a Pac-NW pipeline outage to the upside. 2Q should be stronger than 1Q on inland seasonality, though new regional product pipes could result in lower highs in the future.
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