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PAGS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
11.320
1 Day change
0.53%
52 Week Range
12.320
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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PagSeguro Digital Ltd (PAGS) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators show an overbought condition, and the financial performance reveals declining net income and EPS despite revenue growth. Additionally, hedge funds are selling, and analysts have mixed ratings with recent downgrades. While options data suggests bullish sentiment, there are no strong catalysts or proprietary trading signals to justify immediate action.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating bullish momentum. The RSI is at 85.432, signaling an overbought condition. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are R1: 11.447 and R2: 11.837, with support at S1: 10.187 and S2: 9.797.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
1
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Bullish moving averages and positive MACD expansion. Options data shows a low put-call ratio, indicating bullish sentiment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • RSI indicates overbought conditions. Hedge funds are selling significantly (401.13% increase in selling). Analysts have issued downgrades and reduced price targets. Financial performance shows declining net income and EPS.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 5.51% YoY to $5.39 billion. However, net income dropped by 16.19% YoY to $502 million, and EPS fell by 9.42% YoY to 1.73. Gross margin improved by 7.42% YoY to 53.13.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Mixed ratings with recent downgrades. JPMorgan lowered the price target to $12 from $13 and maintained a Neutral rating. BTG Pactual downgraded the stock to Neutral from Buy. UBS raised the price target to $14 and maintained a Buy rating. Grupo Santander downgraded to Neutral from Outperform with a $14 price target.

Wall Street analysts forecast PAGS stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast PAGS stock price to fall
3 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 11.260
sliders
Low
7
Averages
10.8
High
13
Current: 11.260
sliders
Low
7
Averages
10.8
High
13
JPMorgan
Neutral
to
Hold
downgrade
$13 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-04-13
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$13 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-04-13
downgrade
Neutral
to
Hold
Reason
JPMorgan lowered the firm's price target on PagSeguro to $12 from $13 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model.
BTG Pactual
Eduardo Rosman
Buy -> Neutral
downgrade
$13
2026-01-29
Reason
BTG Pactual
Eduardo Rosman
Price Target
$13
2026-01-29
downgrade
Buy -> Neutral
Reason
BTG Pactual analyst Eduardo Rosman downgraded PagSeguro to Neutral from Buy with an unchanged $13 price target.
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