OTRK Valuation

Ontrak Inc

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0.269

-0.061(-18.490%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

OTRK Relative Valuation

OTRK's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, OTRK is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ontrak Inc (OTRK) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.19 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -105.51. The fair price of Ontrak Inc (OTRK) is between 0.46 to 0.71 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 0.27 USD , Ontrak Inc is Undervalued By 42.01%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

0.46-0.71

Current Price：0.27

42.01%

Undervalued

-0.10

Trailing

Forward

0.00

EV/EBITDA

Ontrak Inc. (OTRK) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.00. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -112.18. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1672.44, Undervalued between -1672.44 and -892.31, Fairly Valued between 667.95 and -892.31, Overvalued between 667.95 and 1448.07, and Strongly Overvalued above 1448.07. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-0.43

EV/EBIT

Ontrak Inc. (OTRK) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.43. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -16.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -109.78, Undervalued between -109.78 and -63.18, Fairly Valued between 30.01 and -63.18, Overvalued between 30.01 and 76.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 76.61. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.19

Ontrak Inc. (OTRK) has a current PS of 0.19. The 5-year average PS is 2.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -4.58, Undervalued between -4.58 and -0.95, Fairly Valued between 6.30 and -0.95, Overvalued between 6.30 and 9.93, and Strongly Overvalued above 9.93. The current Forward PS of 0.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Ontrak Inc. (OTRK) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 0.41. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -91.47, Undervalued between -91.47 and -45.53, Fairly Valued between 46.34 and -45.53, Overvalued between 46.34 and 92.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 92.28. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Ontrak Inc. (OTRK) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is -10.00. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -63.38, Undervalued between -63.38 and -36.69, Fairly Valued between 16.69 and -36.69, Overvalued between 16.69 and 43.38, and Strongly Overvalued above 43.38. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Ontrak Inc (OTRK) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.30. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.84 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -83.69% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 5.95, the current P/B ratio is about -94.97% higher. Ontrak Inc (OTRK) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -493.24%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -210.30%, the current FCF yield is approximately 134.54% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -143.61% , the current FCF yield is about 243.46% lower.

0.30

P/B

Median3y

1.84

Median5y

5.95

-493.24

FCF Yield

Median3y

-210.30

Median5y

-143.61

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for OTRK's competitors is 0.33, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ontrak Inc Corp (OTRK) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -24.74%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Splash Beverage Group Inc

Mobile-health Network Solutions

Intelligent Bio Solutions Inc

0.51

15.95%

13.14M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of OTRK decreased by 89.53% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -166.34 to -341.65.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -24.74%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of OTRK in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-24.74%

2.68M → 2.02M

Revenue Growth

105.39%

-166.34 → -341.65

Margin Expansion

-170.18%

0.03 → -0.02

P/E Change

-89.53%