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ORGN Valuation

Origin Materials Inc
$
0.535
-0.032(-5.650%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

ORGN Relative Valuation

ORGN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, ORGN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
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Historical Valuation

Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.72 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -1.31. The fair price of Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) is between 0.58 to 1.01 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 0.53 USD , Origin Materials Inc is Undervalued By 8.48%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
0.58-1.01
Current Price:0.53
8.48%
Undervalued
-1.27
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
-0.37
EV/EBITDA
Origin Materials Inc. (ORGN) has a current EV/EBITDA of -0.37. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -7.89. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -29.58, Undervalued between -29.58 and -18.74, Fairly Valued between 2.96 and -18.74, Overvalued between 2.96 and 13.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.81. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -0.37 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-0.25
EV/EBIT
Origin Materials Inc. (ORGN) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.25. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -6.80. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -25.85, Undervalued between -25.85 and -16.33, Fairly Valued between 2.72 and -16.33, Overvalued between 2.72 and 12.24, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.24. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.25 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
1.72
PS
Origin Materials Inc. (ORGN) has a current PS of 1.72. The 5-year average PS is 17.03. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -73.20, Undervalued between -73.20 and -28.08, Fairly Valued between 62.14 and -28.08, Overvalued between 62.14 and 107.26, and Strongly Overvalued above 107.26. The current Forward PS of 1.72 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-1.55
P/OCF
Origin Materials Inc. (ORGN) has a current P/OCF of -1.55. The 5-year average P/OCF is -11.19. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -35.18, Undervalued between -35.18 and -23.18, Fairly Valued between 0.80 and -23.18, Overvalued between 0.80 and 12.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.80. The current Forward P/OCF of -1.55 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-1.33
P/FCF
Origin Materials Inc. (ORGN) has a current P/FCF of -1.33. The 5-year average P/FCF is -2.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.89, Undervalued between -7.89 and -5.18, Fairly Valued between 0.24 and -5.18, Overvalued between 0.24 and 2.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.95. The current Forward P/FCF of -1.33 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.25. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.81 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -68.80% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 6.77, the current P/B ratio is about -96.27% higher. Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -72.50%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -69.10%, the current FCF yield is approximately 4.92% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -42.41% , the current FCF yield is about 70.94% lower.
0.25
P/B
Median3y
0.81
Median5y
6.77
-72.50
FCF Yield
Median3y
-69.10
Median5y
-42.41
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Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for ORGN's competitors is 2.12, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Origin Materials Inc Corp (ORGN) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.72, which is -19.13% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -17.35%, this premium appears unsustainable.
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Performance Decomposition

1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of ORGN decreased by 65.27% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Revenue Growth from 7.03M to 5.81M.
The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -20.91%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of ORGN in the past 1 year is driven by Revenue Growth. Which is more sustainable.
-17.35%
7.03M → 5.81M
Revenue Growth
+
-20.91%
-277.25 → -219.28
Margin Expansion
+
-27.01%
-1.18 → -0.86
P/E Change
=
-65.27%
1.54 → 0.53
Mkt Cap Growth

FAQ

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Is Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) currently overvalued or undervalued?

Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 1.72 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -1.31. The fair price of Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) is between 0.58 to 1.01 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 0.53 USD , Origin Materials Inc is Undervalued By 8.48% .
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What is Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) fair value?

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How does ORGN's valuation metrics compare to the industry average?

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What is the current P/B ratio for Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) as of Sep 01 2025?

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What is the current FCF Yield for Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) as of Sep 01 2025?

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What is the current Forward P/E ratio for Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) as of Sep 01 2025?

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What is the current Forward P/S ratio for Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) as of Sep 01 2025?