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ORGN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Origin Materials Inc(ORGN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Origin Materials Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
-2025-11-13After Hours--0.11--4.66M--4.21-8.18
-2025-08-14After Hours--0.09--5.81M--33.24-36.81
-2025-05-15After Hours--0.18--5.43M--32.04-23.99
FY2024Q42025-03-13After Hours-0.11-0.09+18.189.08M9.22M+1.58-4.19-8.82
FY2024Q22024-08-14After Hours-0.12-0.14-16.677.78M7.03M-9.62+22.22+68.89
FY2024Q12024-05-14--0.10-0.10-6.48M6.83M+5.25-9.83-18.89
FY2023Q32023-11-09--0.13-0.07+46.1514.89M7.14M-52.04-0.92+2.75
FY2023Q22023-08-09--0.14-0.09+35.715.27M6.90M+30.92+0.23-68.06
-2023-05-10--0.08-0.06+25.00---+0.93+7.18
-2023-02-23--0.08-0.07+12.50---+1.04-0.84
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ORGN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Origin Materials Inc reported performance for , announced on 2025-11-13. The company achieved an EPS of -0.11, compared to analyst estimates of by % . Revenue for the quarter reached 4.66M compared to expectations of 0.00 by % .
The stock price reacted with a -4.21% one-day change and a -8.18% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Origin Materials Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ORGN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Origin Materials Inc(ORGN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 29.10M and an EPS of -0.07.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming , revenue estimates have been adjusted Go Down by -6.41% . These revisions correlate with a % change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Origin Materials Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ORGN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
No Change
down Image
0.00%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
down Image
0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-6.41%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:45.75M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.42
—
Stock Price0.49
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Financial AI Agent

ORGN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Origin Materials Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
(2025-11-13,After Hours):
EPS: -0.11 (Actual) vs. (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 4.66M (Actual) vs. 0.00 (Estimate) (%)
Price Reaction: -4.21%(1-Day), -8.18%(5-Day)
(2025-08-14,After Hours):
EPS: -0.09 (Actual) vs. (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 5.81M (Actual) vs. 0.00 (Estimate) (%)
Price Reaction: -33.24%(1-Day), -36.81%(5-Day)
(2025-05-15,After Hours):
EPS: -0.18 (Actual) vs. (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 5.43M (Actual) vs. 0.00 (Estimate) (%)
Price Reaction: -32.04%(1-Day), -23.99%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ORGN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ORGN sees a -1.18% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -12.24% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -4.21% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -5.79% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-11-13
The earnings call reveals significant challenges: delays in manufacturing output, reduced revenue guidance, and strategic uncertainties. The Q&A highlights management's evasive responses and lack of clear timelines, further eroding confidence. Despite some positive notes on financing and partnerships, the overall sentiment is negative due to the downward revision of guidance and operational delays, which are likely to weigh heavily on the stock price in the near term.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-08-14
The earnings call reveals significant manufacturing delays, leading to reduced revenue guidance and postponed EBITDA breakeven, indicating operational challenges. Despite some positive aspects like strategic partnerships and product differentiation, the financial outlook is weakened. The Q&A highlights competitive advantages but also underscores risks like NASDAQ listing compliance issues. Overall, the negative financial revisions and operational setbacks outweigh the positives, suggesting a negative stock price reaction.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-17
The earnings call revealed several negative indicators: customer qualification delays, supply chain disruptions, and tariff impacts, all contributing to deferred revenue expectations for 2026 and 2027. Despite a strong cash position and plans for debt financing, the uncertainty surrounding revenue timelines and lack of specific guidance on new product regions weigh negatively. The Q&A highlighted management's evasive responses, adding to investor concerns. These factors suggest a negative sentiment, likely leading to a stock price decline between -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-15
The earnings call highlighted several challenges, including customer qualification delays, supply chain disruptions, and regulatory hurdles, leading to reduced revenue expectations for 2026. Despite strong demand and a solid cash position, these issues, combined with tariff impacts and unclear guidance on future contracts, suggest a negative sentiment. The Q&A session reinforced these concerns, with management providing vague responses on key issues, affecting investor confidence. Given these factors, the stock is likely to experience a negative reaction in the short term.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-15
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: delayed revenue expectations for 2026, extended timelines for EBITDA breakeven, and uncertainties in product qualification. Although there is a strong cash position and potential for debt financing, the market may react negatively to the revised revenue guidance and management's unclear responses in the Q&A. The absence of a new partnership announcement and the impact of tariffs further contribute to a negative sentiment. Given these factors, the stock price is likely to decline in the next two weeks.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-15
The earnings call highlights several concerns: delayed production timelines, regulatory and supply chain risks, and lack of clear guidance for 2025, which could lead to investor uncertainty. Despite strong demand and a positive outlook for 2026, the immediate challenges and lack of shareholder return plans weigh negatively. The Q&A section reveals delays and uncertainties, further impacting sentiment. Without market cap information, the prediction is based on available data, suggesting a negative market reaction (-2% to -8%) over the next two weeks.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-13
The earnings call presents mixed signals: a revenue decline and increased expenses suggest challenges, while positive future guidance and a short payback period for CapFormer lines are encouraging. The Q&A section reveals operational delays and financing reliance, but also highlights strong future demand. Overall, these factors balance out, leading to a neutral outlook for the stock price.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-13
Despite strong demand and plans for significant production capacity in 2025, Origin faces challenges such as operational delays, regulatory issues, and reliance on external financing. The decrease in Q4 2024 revenue and a high cash burn are concerning. The lack of specific guidance for 2025 and delays in key projects contribute to uncertainty. These factors, coupled with the market's likely negative reaction to the operational delays and financial challenges, suggest a negative sentiment towards the stock in the near term.
Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-03-13
The earnings call summary reveals several concerns: production delays, financing risks, and a significant cash burn. The Q&A highlights uncertainties in customer qualification and revenue timelines. While there is strong demand and potential for future revenue growth, the immediate financial performance is weak with declining revenue and increased expenses. The focus on debt financing without clear guidance further adds to the negative sentiment. Given these factors, the stock is likely to experience a negative reaction in the short term.
Origin Materials, Inc. (ORGN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-16
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. Financial performance is stable but not exceptional, with modest revenue growth. Product development shows potential with partnerships and future revenue from caps, but operational risks and competitive pressures exist. Market strategy lacks clarity, as seen in vague Q&A responses. Expenses are managed, but cash burn raises liquidity concerns. Shareholder return plan is optimistic, yet lacks immediate impact. The neutral sentiment is due to strong future prospects balanced by current uncertainties and risks, with no clear catalysts for a significant stock price movement in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ORGN’s latest earnings report for ?

ORGN reported its earnings on 2025-11-13, showcasing a revenue of 4.66M against an estimate of 0.00, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was -0.11, surpassing the expected 0 by 0% . The stock experienced a -4.21% price change on the earnings day and a -8.18% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ORGN’s stock price react after the earnings release?

Following ORGN’s earnings announcement on 2025-11-13, the stock price moved by -4.21% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -8.18% change. Historically, ORGN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.18% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -12.24% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ORGN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ORGN’s annual revenue to reach 29.10M, while the EPS is projected at -0.07. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue No Change by 0% and EPS estimates Go Down by -6.41% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ORGN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ORGN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were No Change by 0%, while EPS estimates moved Go Down by -6.41% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ORGN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ORGN’s stock price typically moves by -1.18% in the 10 days before its earnings and -12.24% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.07 and revenue of 29.10M.
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What is the sentiment in Origin Materials Inc (ORGN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals significant challenges: delays in manufacturing output, reduced revenue guidance, and strategic uncertainties. The Q&A highlights management's evasive responses and lack of clear timelines, further eroding confidence. Despite some positive notes on financing and partnerships, the overall sentiment is negative due to the downward revision of guidance and operational delays, which are likely to weigh heavily on the stock price in the near term.
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