OLLI Valuation

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

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133.810

+0.29(0.217%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

OLLI Relative Valuation

OLLI's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, OLLI is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 34.44 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 27.50. The fair price of Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) is between 102.23 to 133.18 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 133.81 USD , Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc is Overvalued By 0.48%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

102.23-133.18

Current Price：133.81

0.48%

Overvalued

34.44

Trailing

Forward

23.14

EV/EBITDA

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) has a current EV/EBITDA of 23.14. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 18.17. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.15, Undervalued between 12.15 and 15.16, Fairly Valued between 21.19 and 15.16, Overvalued between 21.19 and 24.20, and Strongly Overvalued above 24.20. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 23.14 falls within the Overvalued range.

28.12

EV/EBIT

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) has a current EV/EBIT of 28.12. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 21.61. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 14.64, Undervalued between 14.64 and 18.13, Fairly Valued between 25.09 and 18.13, Overvalued between 25.09 and 28.58, and Strongly Overvalued above 28.58. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 28.12 falls within the Overvalued range.

3.06

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) has a current PS of 3.06. The 5-year average PS is 2.33. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.15, Undervalued between 1.15 and 1.74, Fairly Valued between 2.92 and 1.74, Overvalued between 2.92 and 3.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.50. The current Forward PS of 3.06 falls within the Overvalued range.

31.65

P/OCF

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) has a current P/OCF of 31.65. The 5-year average P/OCF is 25.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 10.78, Undervalued between 10.78 and 18.24, Fairly Valued between 33.16 and 18.24, Overvalued between 33.16 and 40.62, and Strongly Overvalued above 40.62. The current Forward P/OCF of 31.65 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

55.49

P/FCF

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc. (OLLI) has a current P/FCF of 55.49. The 5-year average P/FCF is 46.39. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.72, Undervalued between 7.72 and 27.05, Fairly Valued between 65.72 and 27.05, Overvalued between 65.72 and 85.05, and Strongly Overvalued above 85.05. The current Forward P/FCF of 55.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 4.73. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.34 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 41.89% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 3.44, the current P/B ratio is about 37.66% higher. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc (OLLI) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.17%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 1.78%, the current FCF yield is approximately -34.42% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.29% , the current FCF yield is about -49.03% lower.

4.73

P/B

Median3y

3.34

Median5y

3.44

1.17

FCF Yield

Median3y

1.78

Median5y

2.29

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for OLLI's competitors is 1.19, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc Corp (OLLI) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.06, which is 157.78% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 13.35%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

OLLI.O

Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of OLLI increased by 49.41% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 28.20 to 41.04.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 13.35%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of OLLI in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

13.35%

508.82M → 576.77M

Revenue Growth

-9.44%

9.11 → 8.25

Margin Expansion

45.50%

28.20 → 41.04

P/E Change

49.41%