Should You Buy Nextpower Inc (NXT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
117.600
1 Day change
-2.87%
52 Week Range
131.590
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy NXT now for momentum/earnings-follow-through. The stock is in a strong uptrend after a major Q3 beat, guidance raise, and a new $500M buyback; Wall Street targets were broadly raised (many reiterating Buy/Overweight) and near-term catalysts remain constructive. While the RSI is extremely overbought (risk of a pullback), your scenario implies impatience and unwillingness to wait for an ideal entry—given the current trend strength and event-driven tailwinds, the odds still favor upside continuation toward the next resistance zone (~$124.8).
Technical Analysis
Trend is bullish and accelerating.
- Momentum: MACD histogram at 2.449 and expanding above zero = strong positive momentum.
- Overbought: RSI(6) at ~86.99 = stretched/overbought (price can still run, but churn/pullback risk is elevated).
- Moving averages: SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200 confirms a strong uptrend across short/medium/long horizons.
- Levels: Pivot ~109.88; near-term resistance R1 ~124.83 (next R2 ~134.06). With pre-market ~119.96 (-0.93%), price is still below R1, leaving room for continuation if buyers defend the 110–112 area (pivot region) on any dip.
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Options Data
Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
- Positioning/Sentiment: Open interest P/C at 1.27 suggests heavier put positioning (often hedging after a big move). Volume P/C at 0.8 shows today’s flow is more call-leaning, consistent with bullish short-term sentiment.
- Volatility: 30D IV ~73.32 vs HV ~77.44; IV percentile ~86.4 indicates options are priced rich vs the past year’s distribution (market expects larger moves / elevated uncertainty).
- Activity: Volume vs 30D average is elevated (~11.66x), reinforcing that sentiment is active and event-driven.
Technical Summary
Sell
3
Buy
9
Positive Catalysts
- Fiscal 2026/Q3 beat “across the board” with revenue up ~33.85% YoY to ~$909M.
- FY26 outlook raised; multiple analysts called guidance conservative with continued demand strength.
- Backlog/booking strength highlighted (book-to-bill > 1x; record backlog) and expansion into new geographies (including Saudi JV for trackers).
- Broad analyst support: multiple Buy/Overweight reiterations and price-target raises, including upgrades (e.g., KeyBanc to Overweight).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
after a sharp post-earnings surge; near-term consolidation risk is high.
suggests meaningful hedging demand remains.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: Fiscal 2026/Q3.
- Revenue: $909.352M, +33.85% YoY (strong top-line acceleration).
- Net income: $131.236M, +13.84% YoY (profits growing, but slower than revenue).
- EPS: $0.85, +7.59% YoY.
- Gross margin: 31.69%, down ~10.63% YoY (key watch item; growth is strong but margin pressure is evident).
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: clearly improving/bullish. From Jan 23–29, multiple firms raised price targets and reiterated Buy/Overweight/Outperform; one notable upgrade (KeyBanc to Overweight) and several ‘top pick’ comments (UBS/JPM/Wells).
- Pros (Wall St view): durable demand, tracker leadership, record backlog/bookings, platform expansion beyond trackers, and buyback.
- Cons: some firms remain cautious (Hold/Market Perform targets ~104–105), pointing to valuation/near-term pacing (e.g., implied lighter Q4) and execution/margin sensitivity.
Wall Street analysts forecast NXT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXT is 105.33 USD with a low forecast of 76 USD and a high forecast of 125 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
20 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NXT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NXT is 105.33 USD with a low forecast of 76 USD and a high forecast of 125 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 121.080
Low
76
Averages
105.33
High
125
Current: 121.080
Low
76
Averages
105.33
High
125
Deutsche Bank
Buy
maintain
$109 -> $119
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
New
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$109 -> $119
AI Analysis
2026-01-29
New
maintain
Buy
Reason
Deutsche Bank raised the firm's price target on Nextpower to $119 from $109 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company reported another "beat and raise" quarter, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Barclays
Christine Cho
Overweight
maintain
$108 -> $115
2026-01-29
New
Reason
Barclays
Christine Cho
Price Target
$108 -> $115
2026-01-29
New
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Barclays analyst Christine Cho raised the firm's price target on Nextpower to $115 from $108 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The company reported a beat "across the board" in fiscal Q3 and its outlook looks conservative, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis, Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NXT