The chart below shows how NXT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NXT sees a -0.15% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +11.83% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.78%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Strong Revenue Growth: Revenue grew 15% year over year to approximately $2 billion year to date, with Q3 revenue reaching $679 million, reflecting strong financial performance.
Backlog Growth Confidence: Backlog increased to significantly over $4.5 billion, providing excellent visibility and confidence in future growth.
EBITDA Growth and Margin: Adjusted EBITDA expanded to $186 million in Q3, marking an 11% increase year over year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27%.
Adjusted Free Cash Flow Growth: Generated $135 million in adjusted free cash flow during Q3, more than doubling the $62 million from the same period last year, contributing to a year-to-date adjusted free cash flow of $395 million, a 26% increase from the prior year.
Record Bookings Achievement: Achieved record bookings in Q3, with 75% of total bookings coming from the U.S., indicating strong demand and a robust pipeline for future projects.
Negative
Slower Revenue Growth: Q3 revenue was $679,000,000, which is only a 7% sequential improvement over Q2, indicating slower growth compared to previous quarters.
Stable Adjusted Gross Margins: Adjusted gross margins of 36% were roughly in line quarter over quarter, suggesting no significant improvement despite operational efficiencies.
Margin Compression Outlook: The company expects structural gross margins to be in the low 30s for the upcoming quarters, indicating potential margin compression due to international project mix.
Pricing Stability Challenges: Pricing for NeXT Tracker was stable, but the competitive environment remains challenging, which could limit pricing power moving forward.
Backlog Conversion Rate Decline: The backlog conversion rate decreased to 87% from 90% in the previous quarter, indicating potential delays in project execution and revenue recognition.
Earnings call transcript: Nextracker's Q3 2024 earnings beat forecasts, stock surges
NXT.O
-4.75%