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NXST Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
244.770
1 Day change
-0.78%
52 Week Range
254.300
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Nexstar Media Group Inc (NXST) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the technical indicators show bullish momentum and analysts have raised price targets, the company's recent financial performance is poor, with significant declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, the options data suggests a lack of strong bullish sentiment, and there are no recent signals from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals to support a buy decision. Given the user's preference for long-term investment, it would be prudent to wait for better financial performance or stronger positive catalysts before committing funds.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for NXST are bullish. The MACD is positive and expanding, the RSI is neutral at 73.51, and the moving averages are in a bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading above the key pivot level of 239.008, with resistance levels at 251.36 and 258.991. However, the stock's candlestick pattern suggests a 60% chance of a -1.93% decline in the next day, -4.55% in the next week, and -10.65% in the next month.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The open interest put-call ratio of 0.37 and the option volume put-call ratio of 0.09 indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market. However, the implied volatility is at 33.86, with an IV percentile of 65.6, suggesting moderate uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
7

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with Guggenheim and Benchmark setting targets of $290 and $300, respectively, citing strong free cash flow and growth potential from the Tegna acquisition. The acquisition is expected to increase Nexstar's scale, reaching 80% of TV households.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financial performance in Q4 2025 was poor, with revenue dropping by -13.32% YoY, net income declining by -166.28% YoY, and EPS falling by -168.70% YoY. Additionally, there are no significant hedge fund or insider trading trends, and no recent congress trading data is available.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Nexstar reported a revenue decline to $1.289 billion (-13.32% YoY), net income of -$171 million (-166.28% YoY), and EPS of -5.64 (-168.70% YoY). Gross margin also dropped to 41.27 (-13.44% YoY), indicating significant financial struggles.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are generally positive on NXST, with multiple firms raising price targets recently. Barrington raised the target to $290, Benchmark to $300, and Guggenheim to $290, all maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings. However, Citi has a Neutral rating with a price target of $252, reflecting mixed sentiment.

Wall Street analysts forecast NXST stock price to fall
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NXST stock price to fall
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 246.700
sliders
Low
204
Averages
232.25
High
250
Current: 246.700
sliders
Low
204
Averages
232.25
High
250
Barrington
Patrick Sholl
Outperform
maintain
$225 -> $290
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Barrington
Patrick Sholl
Price Target
$225 -> $290
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Barrington analyst Patrick Sholl raised the firm's price target on Nexstar to $290 from $225 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm says the acquisition of Tegna will "add substantially" to Nexstar's scale. The combined company should reach 80% of TV households, with many markets operating two "Big Four" network affiliates, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barrington sees repricing and mid-term elections supports growth in Nexstar's distribution revenue.
Citi
Neutral
maintain
$204 -> $252
2026-03-02
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$204 -> $252
2026-03-02
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Nexstar to $252 from $204 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report.
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