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NTRA Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Natera Inc(NTRA) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Natera Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-06After Hours-0.39-0.64-64.10514.77M592.18M+15.04+0.55+5.55
FY2025Q22025-08-07After Hours-0.60-0.74-23.33476.84M546.60M+14.63+7.70+11.78
FY2025Q12025-05-08After Hours-0.59-0.50+15.25446.67M501.83M+12.35-6.53-6.91
FY2024Q42025-02-27After Hours-0.42-0.41+2.38447.91M476.06M+6.29-0.65-9.65
FY2024Q22024-08-08After Hours-0.69-0.30-56.52342.88M413.35M+20.55+6.38+13.51
-2024-05-09--0.72-0.56+22.22----0.11+12.18
FY2023Q42024-02-28--0.73-0.64+12.33287.32M311.11M+8.28+0.51+15.05
FY2023Q32023-11-08--0.96-0.95+1.04259.11M268.31M+3.55-5.27+19.43
FY2023Q22023-08-03--1.09-0.97+11.01241.53M261.40M+8.23-1.21+18.94
-2023-05-09--1.18-1.23-4.24----0.19-1.75
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NTRA Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Natera Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-06. The company achieved an EPS of -0.64, compared to analyst estimates of -0.39 by -64.10% . Revenue for the quarter reached 592.18M compared to expectations of 514.77M by 15.04% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.55% one-day change and a 5.55% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Natera Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

NTRA Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Natera Inc(NTRA) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 576.45M and an EPS of -0.52.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 6.04%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 24.27%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 8.04% . These revisions correlate with a 44.07% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Natera Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between NTRA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+6.04%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+24.27%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
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+8.04%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+44.07%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.22B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-2.40
—
Stock Price242.06
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Financial AI Agent

NTRA Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Natera Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-06,After Hours):
EPS: -0.64 (Actual) vs.-0.39 (Estimate) (-64.10%)
Revenue: 592.18M (Actual) vs. 514.77M (Estimate) (15.04%)
Price Reaction: 0.55%(1-Day), 5.55%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-07,After Hours):
EPS: -0.74 (Actual) vs.-0.60 (Estimate) (-23.33%)
Revenue: 546.60M (Actual) vs. 476.84M (Estimate) (14.63%)
Price Reaction: 7.70%(1-Day), 11.78%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-08,After Hours):
EPS: -0.50 (Actual) vs.-0.59 (Estimate) (15.25%)
Revenue: 501.83M (Actual) vs. 446.67M (Estimate) (12.35%)
Price Reaction: -6.53%(1-Day), -6.91%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NTRA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NTRA sees a -1.53% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +10.57% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.55% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 13.64% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Natera Inc (NTRA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-11-06
The earnings call highlights several positive factors: raised revenue and gross margin guidance, strong cash flow expectations, and strategic investments in new product launches and clinical trials. Despite some vague responses in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is positive due to optimistic guidance, Medicare reimbursement expansion, and AI-driven efficiencies. The raised guidance and strong financial metrics, coupled with the positive outlook for future growth, suggest a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Natera Inc (NTRA) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-07
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with significant revenue and volume growth, especially in Signatera. The raised revenue guidance and positive clinical trial outcomes further bolster confidence. The Q&A highlights promising future opportunities, including new product launches and Medicare coverage. Despite some vague management responses, the overall sentiment is positive, with expectations of continued growth. The market is likely to react positively, with a stock price increase in the range of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Natera Inc (NTRA) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-08
Natera's earnings call highlights strong financial performance, with a 37% YoY revenue increase and a 63% gross margin. The company is cash flow positive with nearly $1 billion in cash and no debt. Despite competitive pressures and supply chain challenges, Natera's innovation roadmap, clinical trials, and AI tools deployment are promising. The Q&A session reveals strong market interest and potential growth in oncology volumes. While management was unclear on some specifics, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by optimistic guidance and shareholder returns. These factors suggest a positive stock price movement.
Natera Inc (NTRA) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-27
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance, with a 53% YoY revenue increase, improved gross margins, and significant cash flow. Optimistic guidance for 2025, positive product reception, and strategic reinvestment plans further boost sentiment. Despite some risks, analyst sentiment in the Q&A is generally positive, with expectations of increased ASPs and market penetration. Overall, the company's robust financial health and growth strategy suggest a positive stock price movement.
Natera, Inc. (NTRA) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-13
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with significant revenue growth, record-high gross margins, and improved cash generation. Despite increased litigation expenses, the company's financial health appears robust, with narrowed losses and efficient cash collection. The Q&A session highlighted positive ASP growth for Signatera and potential further improvements. The lack of a clear shareholder return plan is offset by strong cash generation, suggesting future potential for returns. Overall, the positive financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and potential for further growth suggest a strong positive stock price movement.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of NTRA’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

NTRA reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 592.18M against an estimate of 514.77M, resulting in a 15.04% surprise. The EPS was -0.64, surpassing the expected -0.39 by -64.1% . The stock experienced a 0.55% price change on the earnings day and a 5.55% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did NTRA’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following NTRA’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 0.55% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 5.55% change. Historically, NTRA’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.53% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +10.57% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NTRA for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NTRA’s annual revenue to reach 576.45M, while the EPS is projected at -0.52. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 6.04% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 8.04% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does NTRA’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between NTRA’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 6.04%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 8.04% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from NTRA’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, NTRA’s stock price typically moves by -1.53% in the 10 days before its earnings and +10.57% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.52 and revenue of 576.45M.
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What is the sentiment in Natera Inc (NTRA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlights several positive factors: raised revenue and gross margin guidance, strong cash flow expectations, and strategic investments in new product launches and clinical trials. Despite some vague responses in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is positive due to optimistic guidance, Medicare reimbursement expansion, and AI-driven efficiencies. The raised guidance and strong financial metrics, coupled with the positive outlook for future growth, suggest a likely positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
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