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NTR Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Nutrien Ltd (NTR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
71.170
1 Day change
0.78%
52 Week Range
85.360
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Nutrien Ltd (NTR) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, positive analyst sentiment, and favorable market conditions for fertilizers due to geopolitical disruptions make it a compelling investment opportunity.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.318) but contracting, indicating a potential reversal. RSI is neutral at 50.542, suggesting no overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are converging, showing indecision in the market. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 74.425, with key resistance at 77.263 and support at 71.587.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market. Implied volatility is high (IV percentile 93.6, IV rank 84.37), suggesting strong market interest and potential price movement.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets significantly, with multiple firms maintaining Outperform or Overweight ratings.

  • Geopolitical disruptions in the Middle East have tightened fertilizer supply, leading to higher nitrogen and phosphate prices.

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue up 5.14% YoY, net income up 405.31% YoY, and EPS up 413.04% YoY.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling, with a 116.85% increase in selling activity over the last quarter.

  • UBS downgraded the stock to Sell, citing potential pricing declines in potash later in the decade.

  • Technical indicators show no strong bullish momentum currently.

Financial Performance

Nutrien reported robust financials in Q4 2025, with revenue increasing by 5.14% YoY to $5.34 billion, net income surging by 405.31% YoY to $571 million, and EPS growing by 413.04% YoY to 1.18. Gross margin improved to 35.36%, up 13.59% YoY, reflecting strong operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is predominantly positive, with multiple firms raising price targets (e.g., Morgan Stanley to $93, RBC to $85, Wells Fargo to $100) and maintaining Outperform or Overweight ratings. However, UBS downgraded the stock to Sell, citing long-term risks in potash pricing.

Wall Street analysts forecast NTR stock price to fall
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NTR stock price to fall
6 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 70.620
sliders
Low
58
Averages
66.08
High
76
Current: 70.620
sliders
Low
58
Averages
66.08
High
76
Scotiabank
Ben Isaacson
Sector Perform
maintain
$70 -> $75
AI Analysis
2026-04-20
New
Reason
Scotiabank
Ben Isaacson
Price Target
$70 -> $75
AI Analysis
2026-04-20
New
maintain
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank analyst Ben Isaacson raised the firm's price target on Nutrien to $75 from $70 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for Global Fertilizer stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. The firm sees Nutrien as fairly valued and prefers to be long for a pair trade.
Morgan Stanley
NULL -> Overweight
maintain
$77 -> $93
2026-04-08
Reason
Morgan Stanley
Price Target
$77 -> $93
2026-04-08
maintain
NULL -> Overweight
Reason
Morgan Stanley raised the firm's price target on Nutrien to $93 from $77 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Equity markets "appear to have fairly efficiently priced in" the tighter backdrop from the Middle East conflict to both CF and Yara, but Nutrien "appears left behind," the analyst tells investors in a note on the fertilizers group.
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