NTR Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how NTR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NTR sees a +2.26% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.79% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
NTR Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
5.35B
-5.03%
-47.34%
Gross Margin
28.05%
-2.91%
-2.16%
Operating Margin
7.29%
-11.10%
-53.95%
Net Margin
0.47%
-67.81%
-87.82%
EPS
0.04
-73.33%
-94.87%
No Data Available
NTR Earnings Analysis
Nutrien Ltd. Common Shares Corporation (NTR.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Potash Sales Volume Increase: 1. Record Potash Sales Volumes: Nutrien raised its annual potash sales volume guidance to 13.5 to 13.9 million tons, reflecting strong demand and operational capabilities despite a short-term rail disruption.
Adjusted EBITDA Surge: 2. Increased Adjusted EBITDA: Nutrien generated adjusted EBITDA of $4.3 billion through the first nine months of 2024, supported by increased downstream retail earnings and higher upstream fertilizer volumes.
Cost Savings Milestone: 3. Cost Reduction Achievements: The company is on track to achieve $200 million in annual operational efficiency and cost savings by 2025, one year earlier than initially planned.
Crop Nutrient Margin Increase: 4. Strong Crop Nutrient Margins: North American crop nutrient margins increased by $17 per tonne compared to 2023, driven by stabilization in fertilizer markets and growth in proprietary product lines.
Share Repurchase Activity: 5. Share Repurchase Program: Nutrien repurchased 1.5 million shares for approximately $75 million since late September, with plans for continued share repurchases under its NCIB program authorized through February 2025.
Negative
Potash EBITDA Decline: 1. Declining Potash EBITDA: Nutrien's adjusted EBITDA for potash was $1.6 billion in the first nine months of 2024, down from the previous year due to lower benchmark prices.
Decline in Nitrogen EBITDA: 2. Lower Nitrogen EBITDA: The adjusted EBITDA for nitrogen also fell to $1.4 billion in the first nine months of 2024, as lower nitrogen prices outweighed the benefits of reduced natural gas costs.
Nitrogen Sales Volume Revision: 3. Reduced Nitrogen Sales Volume Guidance: Nutrien revised its annual nitrogen sales volume guidance down to 10.6 million to 10.8 million tonnes, reflecting the impact of extended turnarounds and unplanned outages in the third quarter.
Retail EBITDA Guidance Cut: 4. Weak Retail Performance: The full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance for retail was lowered to $1.5 billion to $1.6 billion, primarily due to reduced field activity and unfavorable growing conditions in North America.
Inventory Management Challenges: 5. Inventory Management Issues: Crop protection inventory was down 13% compared to the prior year, indicating challenges in managing working capital levels amidst fluctuating demand.
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NTR Earning Call Sentiment
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
1.0x
00:00
00:00
NTR.N
-0.69%Positive
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Basic financial performance shows growth in adjusted EBITDA and share repurchases, but guidance for potash and retail EBITDA is mixed. Product development and market strategy are positive with strong potash demand, but competitive pressures and economic factors in Brazil are concerning. Expenses are managed well, but potential supply chain disruptions pose risks. Shareholder returns are strong with dividend growth and buybacks. The Q&A section reveals confidence in demand but uncertainty in geopolitical impacts. Overall, these factors balance each other, leading to a neutral sentiment.
