NOAH Valuation

Noah Holdings Ltd

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11.120

-0.02(-0.180%)1D

NOAH Relative Valuation

NOAH's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, NOAH is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 7.67 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 8.22. The fair price of Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) is between 11.40 to 18.38 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 11.12 USD , Noah Holdings Ltd is Undervalued By 2.49%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

11.40-18.38

Current Price：11.12

2.49%

Undervalued

7.67

Trailing

Forward

0.01

EV/EBITDA

Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) has a current EV/EBITDA of 0.01. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 2.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.62, Undervalued between -2.62 and -0.25, Fairly Valued between 4.49 and -0.25, Overvalued between 4.49 and 6.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.85. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 0.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.01

EV/EBIT

Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) has a current EV/EBIT of 0.01. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 2.30. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.83, Undervalued between -2.83 and -0.27, Fairly Valued between 4.86 and -0.27, Overvalued between 4.86 and 7.42, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.42. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 0.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

79.20

Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) has a current PS of 79.20. The 5-year average PS is 2.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -6.56, Undervalued between -6.56 and -2.06, Fairly Valued between 6.94 and -2.06, Overvalued between 6.94 and 11.43, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.43. The current Forward PS of 79.20 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.90, Undervalued between -0.90 and 2.35, Fairly Valued between 8.84 and 2.35, Overvalued between 8.84 and 12.09, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.09. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Noah Holdings Ltd. (NOAH) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 5.17. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -11.75, Undervalued between -11.75 and -3.29, Fairly Valued between 13.62 and -3.29, Overvalued between 13.62 and 22.08, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.08. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.60 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -9.27% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.02, the current P/B ratio is about -47.03% higher. Noah Holdings Ltd (NOAH) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.85%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 2.01% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.54

P/B

Median3y

0.60

Median5y

1.02

0.00

FCF Yield

Median3y

4.85

Median5y

2.01

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for NOAH's competitors is 114.92, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Noah Holdings Ltd Corp (NOAH) exhibits a P/S ratio of 79.20, which is -31.08% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.22%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp

Janus Henderson Group PLC

Affiliated Managers Group Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of NOAH decreased by 15.24% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 16.84 to 28.36.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.22%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of NOAH in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

2.22%

615.85M → 629.50M

Revenue Growth

68.41%

16.84 → 28.36

Margin Expansion

-85.87%

103.80 → 14.67

P/E Change

-15.24%