NOAH Should I Buy
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Noah Holdings Ltd does not present a strong buy opportunity for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the company offers a high dividend yield and has shown strong net income and EPS growth, the recent price target downgrade by UBS, declining revenue, and lack of significant positive catalysts suggest a cautious approach. The technical indicators are neutral to slightly bullish, but the absence of strong trading signals and limited upside potential in the short term make it a hold for now.
The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral at 65.489, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 12.099), indicating limited immediate upside potential.
Hedge funds are increasing their positions, with a 112.32% increase in buying over the last quarter. The company offers a high dividend yield of 16% and has Rmb5.0B in cash and short-term investments, providing downside protection.
No significant insider or congress trading activity, and no recent news to drive positive sentiment.
In Q3 2025, revenue decreased by 7.43% YoY to $632.9M. However, net income increased by 62.55% YoY to $218.5M, and EPS grew by 63.16% YoY to 0.62. Gross margin remained stable at 100%.
UBS maintains a Neutral rating and has lowered the price target to $10 from $11, citing higher provision expenses and contingent liabilities as ongoing concerns.
