Based on the provided data and technical analysis, NJR appears to be fairly valued at its current price of $46.90. Here's the detailed analysis:
Technical Analysis
The stock is trading in a consolidation pattern with RSI at 52.19 showing neutral momentum. The price is currently between its 20-day SMA ($46.77) and 60-day SMA ($47.33), suggesting a neutral short-term trend.
Valuation Metrics
The stock trades at:
- P/E ratio: 14.13x (below industry average)
- Price/Book: 2.03x
- Forward P/E: 15.13x
- Dividend yield: 3.84%
Recent Performance
The company's financial metrics show:
- Revenue declined 32.4% YoY to $1.96B in FY2023
- Net income decreased slightly to $264.7M
- Gross margin improved to 42.34% from 28.49%
- ROE remains healthy at 13.9%
Analyst View
Wells Fargo maintains a Hold rating with a $51 price target, suggesting limited upside potential from current levels. The consensus price target is $53.57, indicating the stock is reasonably valued at current prices.
Conclusion
NJR appears fairly valued considering its:
- Stable utility business model
- Reasonable valuation metrics
- Strong dividend history with 29 years of consecutive increases
- Current trading range aligned with moving averages
- Analyst price targets suggesting modest upside potential