NGVT Stock Price Prediction

Ingevity Corp

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40.430

+0.140(+0.350%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Ingevity Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. NGVT has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

NGVT stock price ended at $40.43 on Friday, after rising 0.35%

The Ingevity Corp stock price increased by 0.35% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 39.87 to 40.29. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.88% , ranging from a day low of $39.17 to a day high of 40.69. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 22.65% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -274.98K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 289.26K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 11.63M.

NGVT Technical Signals

NGVT(Ingevity Corp Corp) has 5 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-09. The total price change during this trend is +20.63%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of NGVT over the last 5 trading days is 17.44M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

NGVT Moving Average Analysis

Ingevity Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 9, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $41.45066, and $44.839. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $30.487340000000003, and $27.099000000000004. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

NGVT Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Ingevity Corp(NGVT) as of 07 May 2025 is 26.17%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 39.20 to 39.23. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

5 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

2.003

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

7.44

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.251

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

40.29

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 60-day SMA

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

92.654

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

221.013

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-3.81

Bearish

Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)

UO_7_14_28 > 70

73.529

Bearish

NGVT Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Ingevity Corp(NGVT), our algorithm predicts NGVT's 1-month price at $28.40, with an -18.95%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.58%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Ingevity Corp (NGVT.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -18.95% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ASPN.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.58%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

NGVT

Future prediction

Up: -18.95%

ASPN

Down: -18.95%Similarity: 98.58%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ASPN.N

98.58%

-18.95%

LTRX.O

98.36%

-8.00%

MC.N

98.25%

+0.75%

JEF.N

98.24%

+2.33%

AA.N

98.23%

+1.53%

HLIO.N

98.22%

+12.78%

GNRC.N

98.20%

+5.08%

JILL.N

98.07%

+11.70%

A.N

98.06%

-1.20%

SFBS.N

98.00%

-0.25%

NGVT Seasonality Analysis

Based on NGVT's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is44.44%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in NGVT. In contrast,Julyoffers the highest probability of positive returns at88.89%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Ingevity Corp (NGVT.N) stock in July has the highest probability of a positive return (88.89%), while March has the lowest probability (33.33%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Ingevity Corp. (NGVT)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.