Should I Buy NGL? NGL 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy NGL Energy Partners LP (NGL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

11.680

1 Day change

4.29%

52 Week Range

7.150

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Not a good buy right now. With no Intellectia buy signals, bearish short-term pattern probabilities (next day/week/month skew negative), and weakening YoY earnings despite better margins, the risk/reward is unfavorable for an impatient buyer at the current pre-market area (~11.94). Best action is to stay on the sidelines (hold/no-buy).

Technical Analysis

Price/Trend: Momentum looks soft-to-neutral. MACD histogram is negative (-0.0623) and only "negatively contracting," which suggests bearish momentum is easing but not yet flipped bullish. RSI(6) ~59.8 is neutral (not oversold), so there’s no clear mean-reversion buy signal. Moving averages are converging, typically indicating indecision and increased odds of a breakout—but direction is not confirmed. Pattern/Forward bias: The similar-candlestick model implies a bearish drift: ~90% chance of -2.18% next day, -3.14% next week, -7.59% next month. Levels: The provided pivot/support/resistance (Pivot 6.103, R1 6.341, S1 5.864) do not align with the current trading area (~11.7–11.9), so they’re not reliable for actionable entries here. Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Options positioning is strongly call-skewed (OI put/call 0.24; volume put/call 0.01), which is typically bullish. However, today’s total volume is small (555 contracts; puts only 6), so the extremely low put/call volume ratio may be less informative. Volatility: IV30 ~83 vs HV ~76.9 suggests options are pricing elevated movement; IV percentile ~49 is mid-range (not extreme). Overall: options lean bullish, but the signal quality is mixed due to low put volume and no corroborating technical buy signal.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Options market skew is bullish (call-heavy open interest/volume).
Gross margin improved YoY to 27.93 (+23.80% YoY), suggesting some operational improvement.
Upcoming earnings (2026-02-03 after hours) can act as a catalyst if results/forward commentary surprise positively.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Statistical/technical near-term bias is bearish (model projects declines across day/week/month).
Core financial trend is weakening YoY: revenue down -10.81% YoY and EPS down -109.52% YoY in 2026/Q
No proprietary Intellectia buy signals (AI Stock Picker and SwingMax both absent), reducing confidence in a near-term entry.

Financial Performance

Latest quarter: 2026/Q2. Revenue fell to 674.677M (-10.81% YoY). Net income declined to 3.146M (down -111.13% YoY) and EPS to 0.02 (down -109.52% YoY), indicating a meaningful deterioration in bottom-line performance versus last year’s comparable quarter. The bright spot is gross margin, rising to 27.93 (+23.80% YoY), but margin improvement has not translated into stronger earnings yet.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating or price-target change data was provided, so a Wall Street pros/cons trend assessment cannot be confirmed from the dataset. From the available fundamentals/technicals alone: pros = margin improvement and bullish options skew; cons = declining revenue/EPS YoY and bearish near-term price tendency. Politician/congress activity: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds/insiders shown as neutral.

Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast NGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NGL is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

Buy