The chart below shows how NGL performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NGL sees a -5.08% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.19% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.42%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Increased Crude Oil Volume: New long-term contracts with Prairie Operating are expected to increase Grand Mesa's crude oil volume to 100,000 barrels per day, enhancing future revenue potential.
Terminal Sale Proceeds: Proceeds from the sale of 17 natural gas liquids terminals and one terminal in Green Bay, Wisconsin, are projected to be approximately $95 million, contributing positively to cash flow and balance sheet strength.
Biodiesel Business Wind Down: The winding down of the biodiesel marketing business is expected to reduce working capital needs by $30 million to $40 million annually, streamlining operations and improving financial efficiency.
Water Solutions EBITDA Growth: Adjusted EBITDA for Water Solutions increased to $132.7 million in the third quarter, up from $121.3 million in the prior year, reflecting a 12% increase in total disposal volumes.
LEX II Project Performance: The LEX II project commenced operations in October and is performing as expected, contributing positively to the overall operational performance of the company.
Negative
EBITDA Decline Analysis: Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the quarter decreased to $147,700,000 from $151,700,000 in the prior year, indicating a decline of approximately 2% year-over-year.
Biodiesel Business Decline: The biodiesel business generated negative adjusted EBITDA of $12,100,000 in the third quarter, contributing to the overall decline in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter.
Crude Oil Volume Decline: Crude oil logistics segment saw a drop in fiscal volumes on Grand Mesa, averaging 61,000 barrels per day compared to 70,000 barrels per day in the same quarter last year, reflecting a decrease of about 13% in volume.
EBITDA Decline Analysis: Liquids Logistics adjusted EBITDA plummeted to $8,200,000 from $26,300,000 in the prior third quarter, marking a significant decline of approximately 69% year-over-year.
EBITDA Guidance Update: The full year EBITDA guidance was updated to $620,000,000, indicating additional weakness in the Liquids segment compared to previous expectations.
Earnings call transcript: NGL Energy Q3 2025 misses earnings forecast
NGL.N
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