NFG Should I Buy
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National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown strong financial performance in the latest quarter and has a stable integrated structure, the lack of strong technical buy signals, hedge fund selling, and a bearish short-term stock trend suggest waiting for a better entry point. Additionally, analyst ratings and price target revisions are mixed, with some concerns about oversupply risks in the natural gas market in the future.
The MACD histogram is positive at 0.205, indicating bullish momentum, but it is contracting, suggesting weakening strength. RSI is at 71.578, which is neutral, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 84.435, with resistance at 86.326 and support at 82.544. Overall, the technical indicators do not strongly favor a buy.
Strong financial performance in Q1 2026 with revenue up 18.57% YoY, net income up 303.78% YoY, and EPS up 304.08% YoY.
Integrated structure providing stable cash flows despite commodity price fluctuations.
GAMCO Investors increasing its stake in the company during Q4 2025.
Hedge funds are heavily selling, with a 3411.65% increase in selling activity last quarter.
Mixed analyst ratings with some concerns about oversupply risks in
Short-term stock trend indicates potential declines of -0.9% in the next day, -3.95% in the next week, and -7.38% in the next month.
In Q1 2026, the company achieved strong financial growth: revenue increased by 18.57% YoY to $651.51 million, net income surged by 303.78% YoY to $181.65 million, and EPS grew by 304.08% YoY to $1.98. However, gross margin slightly declined by -0.12% YoY to 68.13.
Analyst ratings are mixed. Scotiabank lowered its price target to $101 from $106 but remains optimistic about supply deficits driving natural gas prices higher. BofA lowered its price target to $99 from $102, citing oversupply risks in 2027. JPMorgan raised its price target to $96 from $95, highlighting demand inflection for natural gas but noting risks from crude oil oversupply and geopolitical developments.
