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NFG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
92.410
1 Day change
1.36%
52 Week Range
94.130
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, stable dividend potential, and bullish technical indicators outweigh the mixed analyst sentiment and hedge fund selling trends. The stock is well-positioned for long-term growth, particularly given the expected supply deficits in the natural gas market.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for NFG are bullish. The MACD is positive and contracting, suggesting upward momentum. The RSI is in the neutral zone, not signaling overbought or oversold conditions. Moving averages are aligned bullishly (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the stock is trading near its resistance level of 93.071, indicating potential for a breakout.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, with more interest in calls than puts.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
0
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q1 2026, with revenue up 18.57% YoY and net income up 303.78% YoY.

  • Expected supply deficits in the natural gas market, which could drive prices higher.

  • Stable dividend potential highlighted in recent news.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling, with a significant increase in selling activity (3411.65% over the last quarter).

  • Mixed analyst sentiment, with some concerns about oversupply risks in

  • No recent congress trading data to indicate political confidence in the stock.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, National Fuel Gas Co reported strong financial growth. Revenue increased by 18.57% YoY to $651,507,000. Net income surged by 303.78% YoY to $181,645,000, and EPS rose by 304.08% YoY to 1.98. However, gross margin slightly declined by 0.12% YoY to 68.13.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is mixed. Scotiabank lowered the price target to $101 but remains optimistic about supply deficits driving natural gas prices higher. BofA reduced the price target to $99 and maintains an Underperform rating, citing oversupply risks in 2027. JPMorgan raised the price target to $96 and sees demand growth for natural gas but highlights risks from crude oil oversupply and geopolitical developments.

Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 91.170
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
Current: 91.170
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
Scotiabank
Sector Perform
downgrade
$106 -> $101
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$106 -> $101
AI Analysis
2026-01-21
downgrade
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank lowered the firm's price target on National Fuel to $101 from $106 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for North American Natural Gas stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank's forecasts continue to show supply deficits in U.S. and Western Canada, leading the firm to believe natural gas commodity and equity prices will increase over the next year.
BofA
Underperform
downgrade
$102 -> $99
2026-01-16
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$102 -> $99
2026-01-16
downgrade
Underperform
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on National Fuel to $99 from $102 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. Bullish sentiment on natural gas has persisted for 18 months, but the firm sees rising risk of oversupply in 2027, which combined with lower price forecasts drives an average 12% reduction in its price objectives among the gas-levered E&P group.
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