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NFG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
93.960
1 Day change
-1.08%
52 Week Range
97.060
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) does not present a strong buy opportunity at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. While the company has shown strong financial performance in its latest quarter, the lack of significant positive technical signals, bearish trading sentiment from hedge funds, and mixed analyst ratings suggest a cautious approach. The investor should hold off on investing until clearer positive signals emerge.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators show mixed signals. The MACD histogram is negative and contracting, indicating a bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 60.362, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 94.173, with resistance at 96.269 and support at 92.078. Overall, the technicals do not provide a strong buy signal.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data suggests a bullish sentiment with a low put-call ratio, but the volume is relatively low, which limits its reliability as a strong indicator.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
8

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q1 2026, with revenue up 18.57% YoY and net income up 303.78% YoY.

  • Bullish moving averages suggest a potential upward trend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are heavily selling, with a 3411.65% increase in selling activity last quarter.

  • Mixed analyst ratings with some firms lowering price targets due to concerns about oversupply in

  • Bearish industry outlook due to high oil prices negatively impacting refining businesses.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, National Fuel Gas Co reported strong growth: Revenue increased by 18.57% YoY, net income surged by 303.78% YoY, and EPS rose by 304.08% YoY. However, gross margin slightly declined by -0.12% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst ratings are mixed. JPMorgan raised the price target to $97, citing geopolitical risks that could support oil prices. Scotiabank lowered the target to $101, maintaining a Sector Perform rating, while BofA lowered the target to $99 with an Underperform rating, citing risks of oversupply in 2027.

Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 94.990
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
Current: 94.990
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
JPMorgan
Neutral
maintain
$95 -> $97
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
Reason
JPMorgan
Price Target
$95 -> $97
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
maintain
Neutral
Reason
JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on National Fuel to $97 from $95 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm says oil market fundamentals "shifted on a dime" due to the Middle East conflict. The war has significantly reduced global productive capacity and "quickly evaporated the risk" of a supply glut in 2026 following the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the analyst tells investors in a research note. JPMorgan would not be surprised to see a $5-$10 per barrel geopolitical risk premium embedded into the long-end of the oil price curve.
Scotiabank
Sector Perform
downgrade
$106 -> $101
2026-01-21
Reason
Scotiabank
Price Target
$106 -> $101
2026-01-21
downgrade
Sector Perform
Reason
Scotiabank lowered the firm's price target on National Fuel to $101 from $106 and keeps a Sector Perform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for North American Natural Gas stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank's forecasts continue to show supply deficits in U.S. and Western Canada, leading the firm to believe natural gas commodity and equity prices will increase over the next year.
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