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NFG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
86.670
1 Day change
-0.96%
52 Week Range
97.060
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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National Fuel Gas Co (NFG) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term focus and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's strong financial performance, recent analyst upgrades, and growth initiatives, including the pending acquisition of CenterPoint Energy's Ohio gas utility business, make it a compelling investment opportunity. Despite short-term technical weakness, the long-term fundamentals and positive catalysts outweigh the negatives.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently oversold with an RSI of 19.227, indicating a potential rebound opportunity. However, the MACD is negatively expanding (-0.88), and the price is trading near the key support level of 89.612. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate bullish sentiment in the options market, with more interest in calls than puts.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • KeyBanc initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $110 price target, citing growth initiatives and the stabilizing effect of the pending acquisition.

  • Strong financial performance in Q1 2026, with revenue up 18.57% YoY and net income up 303.78% YoY.

  • Analysts expect natural gas prices to rise due to supply deficits, which could benefit NFG.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling the stock, with a significant increase in selling activity (3411.65% over the last quarter).

  • The MACD is negatively expanding, suggesting short-term bearish momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q1 2026, NFG reported strong financial growth with revenue increasing by 18.57% YoY to $651.5 million, net income surging by 303.78% YoY to $181.6 million, and EPS rising by 304.08% YoY to 1.98. However, gross margin slightly declined by 0.12% YoY to 68.13%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

KeyBanc initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a $110 price target, highlighting the company's growth initiatives and acquisition. JPMorgan raised its price target to $97, citing improved oil market fundamentals. Scotiabank lowered its target to $101 but remains optimistic about natural gas prices.

Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NFG stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 87.510
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
Current: 87.510
sliders
Low
95
Averages
98.33
High
101
KeyBanc
Overweight
initiated
$110
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
Reason
KeyBanc
Price Target
$110
AI Analysis
2026-04-07
initiated
Overweight
Reason
KeyBanc last night initiated coverage of National Fuel with an Overweight rating and $110 price target. The firm believes National Fuel is an "under-the-radar" energy story, despite its growth initiatives and positive catalysts. The company's pending acquisition of CenterPoint Energy's Ohio gas utility business creates a "much larger" local distribution company and doubles National Fuel's rate base, the analyst tells investors in a research note. KeyBanc says the increased scale for the regulated business further stabilizes the company's broader earnings profile while fortifying its credit rating.
KeyBanc
Tim Rezvan
Overweight
initiated
$110
2026-04-06
Reason
KeyBanc
Tim Rezvan
Price Target
$110
2026-04-06
initiated
Overweight
Reason
KeyBanc analyst Tim Rezvan initiated coverage of National Fuel with an Overweight rating and $110 price target.
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