Technical Analysis:
NBIX has experienced a significant decline, falling 19.23% last week after missing Q4 revenue estimates. The stock is currently trading at $122.14, well below its 200-day moving average of $133.82, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI-14 reading of 26.26 suggests the stock is oversold.
News Impact:
- Q4 2024 earnings report showed mixed results with EPS beating estimates ($1.69 vs $1.56) but revenue missing slightly ($627.7M vs $628.99M)
- 2025 Ingrezza sales guidance of $2.5B-$2.6B came in below Street estimates of $2.67B
- Multiple analysts have lowered price targets:
- BofA: $184 to $179
- HC Wainwright: $190 to $185
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and current market conditions:
- Support levels: $127.53 (S1), $119.30 (S2)
- Resistance levels: $154.15 (R1), $162.38 (R2)
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Breaking below 200-day MA indicates strong bearish momentum
- Conservative revenue guidance suggests near-term growth challenges
- Multiple analyst downgrades reflect reduced confidence
- Technical indicators show continued downward pressure
Price Target: $119.30 (S2 level) in the next trading week, with potential for further decline if broader market weakness persists.
Technical Analysis:
NBIX has experienced a significant decline, falling 19.23% last week after missing Q4 revenue estimates. The stock is currently trading at $122.14, well below its 200-day moving average of $133.82, indicating a bearish trend. The RSI-14 reading of 26.26 suggests the stock is oversold.
News Impact:
- Q4 2024 earnings report showed mixed results with EPS beating estimates ($1.69 vs $1.56) but revenue missing slightly ($627.7M vs $628.99M)
- 2025 Ingrezza sales guidance of $2.5B-$2.6B came in below Street estimates of $2.67B
- Multiple analysts have lowered price targets:
- BofA: $184 to $179
- HC Wainwright: $190 to $185
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on Fibonacci levels and current market conditions:
- Support levels: $127.53 (S1), $119.30 (S2)
- Resistance levels: $154.15 (R1), $162.38 (R2)
Trading Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Breaking below 200-day MA indicates strong bearish momentum
- Conservative revenue guidance suggests near-term growth challenges
- Multiple analyst downgrades reflect reduced confidence
- Technical indicators show continued downward pressure
Price Target: $119.30 (S2 level) in the next trading week, with potential for further decline if broader market weakness persists.