Should You Buy National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
39.970
1 Day change
0.28%
52 Week Range
43.800
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
National Bank Holdings Corp (NBHC) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. Despite a recent analyst upgrade and solid financial performance, the stock's recent price decline, insider selling activity, and lack of strong trading signals suggest waiting for more favorable conditions before investing.
Technical Analysis
The stock shows mixed technical indicators. The MACD is positive but contracting, RSI is neutral, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the stock is trading near its support level (S1: 39.394), and the recent price drop of -4.18% in the regular market indicates bearish sentiment.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Technical Summary
Sell
4
Buy
6
Positive Catalysts
Analyst upgrade to Overweight with a $42 price target, citing valuation discount and growth potential in Texas market.
Solid financial performance in Q3 2025, with revenue, net income, and EPS showing YoY growth.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Significant insider selling activity (434.21% increase in the last month).
Lack of recent positive news or events.
No significant hedge fund activity or trading trends.
Stock trend analysis shows a potential decline of -0.82% in the next month.
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, NBHC reported a 2.67% YoY increase in revenue to $108.1M, a 5.94% YoY increase in net income to $34.98M, and a 6.98% YoY increase in EPS to $0.92. These figures indicate steady growth.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Stephens analyst Andrew Terrell upgraded NBHC to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $42 price target, citing a compelling valuation discount and growth potential from the Vista acquisition in Texas.
Wall Street analysts forecast NBHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NBHC is 42 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast NBHC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NBHC is 42 USD with a low forecast of 42 USD and a high forecast of 42 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 39.860
Low
42
Averages
42
High
42
Current: 39.860
Low
42
Averages
42
High
42
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Equal Weight -> Overweight
upgrade
$42
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
Reason
Stephens
Andrew Terrell
Price Target
$42
AI Analysis
2025-11-10
upgrade
Equal Weight -> Overweight
Reason
Stephens analyst Andrew Terrell upgraded National Bank to Overweight from Equal Weight with a $42 price target. The recent pullback has created a "compelling" valuation discount for National Bank relative to peers, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm believes the company's recently announced purchase of Vista brings scale in the "higher growth" Texas market, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
maintain
$44 -> $46
2025-09-17
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$44 -> $46
2025-09-17
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on National Bank to $46 from $44 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. The firm is \"incrementally more positive\" on the shares following the Vista Bank acquisition. The analyst believes the deals offers a \"compelling\" strategic fit for National Bank at a reasonable price.
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for NBHC
