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MUSA Valuation

Murphy USA Inc
$
393.000
-1.76(-0.446%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

MUSA Relative Valuation

MUSA's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MUSA is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 15.35 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 14.43. The fair price of Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) is between 298.09 to 428.50 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
298.09-428.50
Current Price:393.00
Fair
15.35
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
9.66
EV/EBITDA
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.66. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.87, Undervalued between 5.87 and 7.49, Fairly Valued between 10.73 and 7.49, Overvalued between 10.73 and 12.35, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.35. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.66 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
13.69
EV/EBIT
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.69. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.74. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.98, Undervalued between 7.98 and 10.36, Fairly Valued between 15.12 and 10.36, Overvalued between 15.12 and 17.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.50. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.69 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.38
PS
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a current PS of 0.38. The 5-year average PS is 0.32. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.14, Undervalued between 0.14 and 0.23, Fairly Valued between 0.41 and 0.23, Overvalued between 0.41 and 0.51, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.51. The current Forward PS of 0.38 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
10.46
P/OCF
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a current P/OCF of 10.46. The 5-year average P/OCF is 9.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.75, Undervalued between 4.75 and 6.95, Fairly Valued between 11.33 and 6.95, Overvalued between 11.33 and 13.53, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.53. The current Forward P/OCF of 10.46 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
31.85
P/FCF
Murphy USA Inc. (MUSA) has a current P/FCF of 31.85. The 5-year average P/FCF is 22.06. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.22, Undervalued between 4.22 and 13.14, Fairly Valued between 30.98 and 13.14, Overvalued between 30.98 and 39.90, and Strongly Overvalued above 39.90. The current Forward P/FCF of 31.85 falls within the Overvalued range.
Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 11.58. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 10.37 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 11.65% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 8.37, the current P/B ratio is about 38.34% higher. Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 6.46%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 7.58% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
11.58
P/B
Median3y
10.37
Median5y
8.37
4.84
FCF Yield
Median3y
6.46
Median5y
7.58

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MUSA's competitors is 0.40, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Murphy USA Inc Corp (MUSA) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -9.24%, this premium appears unsustainable.

Performance Decomposition

1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of MUSA decreased by 23.96% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 2.98 to 3.30.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -9.24%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of MUSA in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
-9.24%
4.85B → 4.41B
Revenue Growth
+
10.74%
2.98 → 3.30
Margin Expansion
+
-25.46%
21.55 → 16.06
P/E Change
=
-23.96%
519.12 → 394.76
Mkt Cap Growth

FAQ

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Is Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) currently overvalued or undervalued?

Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 15.35 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 14.43. The fair price of Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) is between 298.09 to 428.50 according to relative valuation methord.
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What is Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) fair value?

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How does MUSA's valuation metrics compare to the industry average?

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What is the current P/B ratio for Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) as of Aug 14 2025?

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What is the current FCF Yield for Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) as of Aug 14 2025?

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What is the current Forward P/E ratio for Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) as of Aug 14 2025?

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What is the current Forward P/S ratio for Murphy USA Inc (MUSA) as of Aug 14 2025?