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Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. While the stock has potential for short-term gains, the lack of significant positive catalysts, muted financial performance, and mixed analyst sentiment suggest a cautious approach.
The MACD is positive and contracting, indicating a potential upward trend, but the RSI is neutral at 47.096, showing no clear momentum. Moving averages are converging, suggesting indecision in the market. The current price of $136.93 is near the pivot level of $136.147, with resistance at $143.686 and support at $128.609.

The stock has an 80% chance of gaining 2.44% in the next day and 8.2% in the next week, based on historical patterns. Revenue and EPS have shown year-over-year growth in Q1 2026.
Analysts have lowered price targets recently, citing weak snowfall and muted fundamentals. Gross margin has dropped by 6.58% YoY, and net income remains negative. Options data indicates bearish sentiment with a high put-call ratio.
In Q1 2026, revenue increased by 4.13% YoY, and EPS improved by 12.55% YoY. However, net income remains negative at -$186.75M, and gross margin has declined to -38.75%.
Analysts have mixed views, with recent price target reductions from Barclays ($140) and Morgan Stanley ($150) citing weak fundamentals and weather challenges. Truist maintains a Buy rating but lowered its target to $234, reflecting cautious optimism.