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MTG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
27.860
1 Day change
-0.45%
52 Week Range
29.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Based on the data provided, MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. The stock lacks strong positive catalysts, has mixed technical indicators, and recent financial performance shows declining revenue and net income. Additionally, hedge funds and insiders are selling, which indicates a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.107, indicating a bullish signal, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 62.352, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition. Moving averages are converging, showing no strong trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 27.097, with resistance at 27.805 and support at 26.388.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. No recent news or significant positive developments.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds and insiders are selling heavily, with hedge fund selling increasing by 804.05% and insider selling up 354.70%. Financial performance shows declining revenue (-0.93% YoY) and net income (-8.33% YoY). Analysts have mixed ratings with no strong buy recommendations, and the stock is expected to decline slightly in the short term.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -0.93% YoY to $298.65M, and net income dropped by -8.33% YoY to $169.31M. EPS increased by 4.17% YoY to 0.75, but this was not enough to offset the broader decline in financial performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed ratings, with recent price target adjustments ranging from $28 to $29. Keefe Bruyette and Barclays raised their targets slightly, but UBS lowered its target. All ratings remain neutral or equal weight, with no strong buy recommendations.

Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 27.980
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
Current: 27.980
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
Keefe Bruyette
Market Perform
maintain
$28 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$28 -> $29
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $29 from $28 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares.
Barclays
Terry Ma
Equal Weight
maintain
$28 -> $29
2026-04-06
Reason
Barclays
Terry Ma
Price Target
$28 -> $29
2026-04-06
maintain
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Terry Ma raised the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $29 from $28 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted mortgage finance targets as part of a Q1 earnings preview, saying higher rates have reset valuations lower. Despite a 40 basis point increase off the February trough for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, it is only modestly higher than at the start of the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays sees positive risk/rewards at current valuations for the mortgage origination-levered stocks.
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