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MTG Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
26.150
1 Day change
-0.38%
52 Week Range
29.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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MGIC Investment Corp (MTG) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon at this moment. While the stock shows potential for modest short-term gains, the lack of strong positive catalysts, declining financial performance, and bearish technical indicators suggest waiting for a clearer entry point or stronger signals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and expanding, indicating slight bullish momentum. However, the RSI is neutral at 54.453, and the moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading near its pivot point of 25.977, with resistance at 26.355 and support at 25.599. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a mixed trend with no strong bullish signal.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
7
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The MACD shows slight bullish momentum. EPS increased by 4.17% YoY in Q4 2025, indicating some improvement in profitability.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are selling heavily, with an 804.05% increase in selling activity last quarter. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed declining revenue (-0.93% YoY) and net income (-8.33% YoY). Analysts have lowered price targets recently, citing weaker earnings and reduced reserve releases. No recent news or significant insider activity to support a bullish case.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 0.93% YoY to $298.65M, and net income declined by 8.33% YoY to $169.31M. However, EPS increased by 4.17% YoY to 0.75, indicating slight profitability improvement despite declining top-line growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have a neutral stance on MTG. UBS and Barclays recently lowered their price targets to $28, citing weaker earnings and reduced reserve releases. The stock is not viewed as having significant upside potential by analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MTG stock price to rise
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 26.250
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
Current: 26.250
sliders
Low
28
Averages
29.33
High
30
UBS
Doug Harter
Neutral
downgrade
$28
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
Reason
UBS
Doug Harter
Price Target
$28
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
downgrade
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst Doug Harter lowered the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $28 from $29.50 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Barclays
Equal Weight
downgrade
$30 -> $28
2026-02-04
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$30 -> $28
2026-02-04
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on MGIC Investment to $28 from $30 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm reduced estimates following the company's Q4 report. MGIC"s earnings missed due to lower sales and a smaller than expected reserve release, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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