MSM Stock Price Prediction

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Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. MSM has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.

MSM stock price ended at $81.46 on Friday, after rising 2%

The MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc stock price increased by 2% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 80.09 to 81.46. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.36% , ranging from a day low of $79.71 to a day high of 81.59. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.91% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 270.97K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 582.13K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 47.21M.

MSM Technical Signals

MSM(MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc Corp) has 6 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-05. The total price change during this trend is +5.44%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of MSM over the last 5 trading days is 31.73M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.

MSM Moving Average Analysis

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Sunday, May 18, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $82.40588666666667, and $85.19066666666667. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $73.39544666666666, and $70.61066666666666. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

MSM Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc(MSM) as of 12 May 2025 is 18.78%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 76.21 to 78.83. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Buy

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

6 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

3.178

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

3.81

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.844

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

81.46

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 200-day SMA

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 250-day SMA

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

94.134

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

213.864

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

100

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-1.783

Bearish

MSM Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc(MSM), our algorithm predicts MSM's 1-month price at $83.78, with an 2.85%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.33%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 2.85% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HRB.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95.33%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

MSM

Future prediction

Up: 2.85%

HRB

Up: 2.85%Similarity: 95.33%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

HRB.N

95.33%

+2.85%

DUOL.O

95.29%

-16.08%

STN.N

94.58%

+2.99%

BIO.B.N

94.47%

+3.30%

TBLA.O

94.45%

+33.54%

CTSH.O

94.44%

+1.96%

SSSS.O

94.37%

-18.55%

SNAP.N

94.22%

+8.95%

CCNE.O

94.21%

+4.83%

GRBK.N

93.98%

-3.54%

MSM Seasonality Analysis

Based on MSM's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in MSM. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while April has the lowest probability (36.36%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc. (MSM)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.