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MSM Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc(MSM) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q42025-10-23Pre-Market1.021.09+6.86964.26M978.18M+1.44+3.09-3.14
FY2025Q32025-07-01Pre-Market1.031.08+4.85969.19M971.15M+0.20+6.23+5.13
FY2025Q22025-04-03Pre-Market0.680.72+5.88908.30M891.72M-1.83-5.20-5.17
FY2025Q12025-01-08Pre-Market0.730.86+17.81904.59M928.48M+2.64+3.48+0.24
FY2024Q42024-10-24Pre-Market1.081.03-4.63959.75M952.28M-0.78-3.77+1.53
FY2024Q32024-07-02-1.331.33-979.34M979.35M-+2.29-2.05
FY2024Q22024-03-28-1.161.18+1.72950.34M935.35M-1.58-2.49-4.04
FY2024Q12024-01-09-1.301.25-3.85971.29M953.97M-1.78-3.13+0.27
FY2023Q42023-10-25-1.621.64+1.231.01B1.04B+2.81-3.05-0.70
-2023-06-29-1.751.74-0.57----1.73-1.60
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MSM Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-10-23. The company achieved an EPS of 1.09, compared to analyst estimates of 1.02 by 6.86% . Revenue for the quarter reached 978.18M compared to expectations of 964.26M by 1.44% .
The stock price reacted with a 3.09% one-day change and a -3.14% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MSM Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc(MSM) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 964.94M and an EPS of 0.95.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 1.2%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 3.47%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.06% . These revisions correlate with a -10.65% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MSM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.2%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
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+3.47%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.06%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-10.65%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:3.97B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:4.27
—
Stock Price82.44
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MSM Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-10-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.09 (Actual) vs.1.02 (Estimate) (6.86%)
Revenue: 978.18M (Actual) vs. 964.26M (Estimate) (1.44%)
Price Reaction: 3.09%(1-Day), -3.14%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-07-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.08 (Actual) vs.1.03 (Estimate) (4.85%)
Revenue: 971.15M (Actual) vs. 969.19M (Estimate) (0.20%)
Price Reaction: 6.23%(1-Day), 5.13%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-04-03,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.72 (Actual) vs.0.68 (Estimate) (5.88%)
Revenue: 891.72M (Actual) vs. 908.30M (Estimate) (-1.83%)
Price Reaction: -5.20%(1-Day), -5.17%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MSM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MSM sees a +1.35% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.25% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.43%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in AUG/2025, the stock changed -1.93% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -4.61% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-23
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include growth in vending and implant programs, and improvements in seller effectiveness. However, concerns include the negative impact of government shutdowns on sales, unclear outlook on pricing and inflation, and significant exposure to federal spending cuts. The macro environment remains uncertain, with pockets of softness. The company's strategic plans show cautious optimism, but lack of clear guidance and significant federal exposure temper enthusiasm. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-01
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook. Basic financial performance shows slight improvement, and product development is positive with initiatives like website upgrades and vending machine expansion. However, market strategy and financial health are cautious, with inflationary pressures and unclear supplier price trends. The Q&A reveals management's hesitance to provide clear guidance, which can be seen negatively. Despite some positives like productivity initiatives, the lack of strong guidance and mixed margin outlook lead to a neutral sentiment. Considering the market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable within a -2% to 2% range.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-05
The earnings call reveals a decline in financial performance, with a drop in EPS and sales, and increased operating expenses. The demand environment is soft, compounded by tariff risks and economic challenges. While shareholder returns are positive, the cautious market outlook and competitive pressures weigh heavily. The Q&A session highlights management's cautious stance and lack of clarity on key issues, suggesting uncertainty. Given the market cap of $4.39 billion, the negative sentiment is likely to lead to a stock price decline of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-03
Despite some positive aspects such as shareholder returns and progress in digital KPIs, the overall sentiment is negative. Financial performance showed a decline in sales, margins, and EPS. The cautious outlook due to economic factors, tariff risks, and competitive pressures further supports a negative sentiment. Management's unclear responses on key issues like trade wars and product imports add to the uncertainty. The company's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted stock price movement of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-03
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Financial performance is weak, with declining sales and margins. Guidance is cautious, with potential market softness and competitive pressures. However, shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks are positive. The Q&A reveals management's cautious stance on market conditions, with some unclear responses, particularly around tariffs and trade wars, raising concerns. Despite some optimism in product development and shareholder returns, the negative aspects outweigh, leading to a negative sentiment rating.
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-01-08
The earnings call summary indicates a positive financial performance with revenue and net income growth, despite a slight decrease in gross margin. The company's strategic initiatives, including e-commerce enhancements and product expansion, are promising. The share repurchase program is a positive signal for shareholder returns. Although there are risks like supply chain challenges and competitive pressures, management's optimistic guidance and the expected product launch support a positive outlook. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to see a moderate positive movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-10-24
The earnings call summary reveals several negative factors: declining sales, increased operating expenses, and weak demand in key markets. Despite a slight dividend increase, the financial performance was disappointing, with declines in EPS and operating margins. The Q&A section highlighted management's reluctance to provide clear guidance, adding uncertainty. The market cap of $4.39 billion suggests a moderate reaction. Therefore, the stock price is likely to experience a negative movement, between -2% and -8%, over the next two weeks due to these factors.
MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q3 Fiscal 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-07-02
The earnings call reveals mixed signals: financial performance is weak with a decline in sales and margins, yet there's a positive note in cash flow and share repurchase plans. The Q&A highlights economic challenges and pricing pressures, with management showing cautious optimism. The market cap suggests moderate reaction potential. Overall, the lack of strong positive catalysts, coupled with economic headwinds and operational challenges, leads to a neutral outlook for the stock price over the next two weeks.
MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) Q3 Fiscal 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-07-02
The earnings call summary and Q&A highlight several concerns: a 7.1% revenue decline, increased operating expenses, operational challenges, and limited visibility in end markets. Despite some positive aspects like improved gross margin YoY and strong cash flow, the negative factors outweigh them. The cautious market outlook, intense competition, and unclear management responses further contribute to a negative sentiment. Given the market cap, a stock price decline of -2% to -8% is expected over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MSM’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?

MSM reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2025-10-23, showcasing a revenue of 978.18M against an estimate of 964.26M, resulting in a 1.44% surprise. The EPS was 1.09, surpassing the expected 1.02 by 6.86% . The stock experienced a 3.09% price change on the earnings day and a -3.14% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MSM’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?

Following MSM’s FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2025-10-23, the stock price moved by 3.09% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -3.14% change. Historically, MSM’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.35% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.25% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MSM for 2026/Q1?

For 2026/Q1, analysts estimate MSM’s annual revenue to reach 964.94M, while the EPS is projected at 0.95. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.2% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 1.06% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MSM’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MSM’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 were Revise Upward by 1.2%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 1.06% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MSM’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MSM’s stock price typically moves by +1.35% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.25% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2026/Q1 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.95 and revenue of 964.94M.
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What is the sentiment in MSC Industrial Direct Co Inc (MSM) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include growth in vending and implant programs, and improvements in seller effectiveness. However, concerns include the negative impact of government shutdowns on sales, unclear outlook on pricing and inflation, and significant exposure to federal spending cuts. The macro environment remains uncertain, with pockets of softness. The company's strategic plans show cautious optimism, but lack of clear guidance and significant federal exposure temper enthusiasm. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to remain neutral in the short term.
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