Should You Buy MapLight Therapeutics Inc (MPLT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/30
Buy now. MPLT is in a technically bullish uptrend (stacked bullish moving averages) and has strong Wall Street support with multiple recent Buy/Overweight/Outperform initiations and elevated targets ($28–$34), implying meaningful upside from the ~$18.12 pre-market price. Even though near-term pattern stats lean slightly negative over the next day/week and Intellectia signals are not active today, the broader technical structure plus analyst-driven rerating potential make it a good buy for an impatient investor who wants exposure immediately rather than waiting for a perfect pullback.
Technical Analysis
Price/Trend: Pre-market ~$18.12, just above the pivot (18.005), within an upward trend structure.
Momentum: MACD histogram 0.106 (>0) but positively contracting, implying bullish momentum is present but not accelerating.
RSI: RSI(6) ~55.6 (neutral), suggesting no immediate overbought/oversold extreme.
Moving averages: Bullish alignment (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200) supports an ongoing uptrend.
Levels: Support S1 ~16.70 (then S2 ~15.90); resistance R1 ~19.31 (then R2 ~20.11). A push through ~19.31 would confirm near-term continuation; failure could mean consolidation back toward ~16.70.
Pattern/forward stats: Similar-pattern read suggests ~50% chance of -1.36% next day and -1.88% next week, but +43.26% next month—skewing the setup toward a medium-term upside move.
Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals:
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: Clear bullish wave of coverage initiations on 2025-11-21 (Leerink Outperform $30; Morgan Stanley Overweight $34; Stifel Buy $28; Jefferies Buy $32), followed by a supportive Stifel note on 2025-12-03 reiterating upside risk/reward and suggesting the market prices in limited Alzheimer’s disease psychosis (ADP) credit.
Wall Street pros: Strong Buy-leaning consensus tone, high price targets vs current price, and a favorable competitive/market-size narrative.
Wall Street cons: The bull case is thesis-driven (clinical differentiation and probability of success); without clinical readouts, price can be sentiment-driven.
Politicians/Influential trading: No recent congress trading data available. Hedge fund and insider activity are described as neutral with no significant recent trends.
Wall Street analysts forecast MPLT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPLT is 31 USD with a low forecast of 28 USD and a high forecast of 34 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Wall Street analysts forecast MPLT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MPLT is 31 USD with a low forecast of 28 USD and a high forecast of 34 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Current: 18.580

Current: 18.580
