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MOH Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
133.310
1 Day change
1.40%
52 Week Range
359.970
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The stock is facing significant financial and operational challenges, as evidenced by poor Q4 financial performance, negative sentiment in analyst ratings, and ongoing legal issues. Additionally, technical indicators are bearish, and there is no strong signal from Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals to suggest a short-term opportunity. It would be prudent to wait for clearer signs of recovery or stability before considering an investment.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for MOH are bearish. The MACD is negatively expanding below zero, the RSI is neutral at 40.611, and moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below key pivot levels, with support at 135.114 and resistance at 142.887. These indicators suggest a downward trend with no clear reversal signal.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The high Open Interest Put-Call Ratio indicates bearish sentiment, while the lower Option Volume Put-Call Ratio suggests a slight short-term bullish activity. However, the overall sentiment leans negative.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
4

Positive Catalysts

  • The company reported an 8.34% YoY revenue increase in Q4 2025, which is a positive sign of top-line growth.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin also fell by 23.79%. Analysts have downgraded the stock and lowered price targets, citing concerns about Medicaid and health insurance exchange pressures, as well as poor Q4 performance. Additionally, there is an ongoing class action lawsuit and investigation into the company.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 8.34% YoY to $11.375 billion. However, net income dropped to -$160 million (-163.75% YoY), EPS fell to -3.16 (-171.17% YoY), and gross margin declined to 10.51% (-23.79% YoY). These results indicate severe profitability challenges.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have generally downgraded the stock and lowered price targets. UBS raised the target to $151 but maintained a Neutral rating. Mizuho lowered the target to $180 but kept an Outperform rating. Other firms like Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo, Truist, JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and Barclays have significantly reduced price targets and expressed concerns about the company's financial performance and guidance.

Wall Street analysts forecast MOH stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast MOH stock price to rise
3 Buy
9 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 131.470
sliders
Low
155
Averages
180.85
High
250
Current: 131.470
sliders
Low
155
Averages
180.85
High
250
UBS
AJ Rice
Neutral
maintain
$145 -> $151
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
Reason
UBS
AJ Rice
Price Target
$145 -> $151
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS analyst AJ Rice raised the firm's price target on Molina Healthcare to $151 from $145 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Mizuho
Outperform
to
NULL
downgrade
$220 -> $180
2026-03-12
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$220 -> $180
2026-03-12
downgrade
Outperform
to
NULL
Reason
Mizuho lowered the firm's price target on Molina Healthcare to $180 from $220 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's model post the Q4 report. The firm reduced 2026 and 2027 estimates to reflect elevated medical cost trend pressure across Molina's Medicaid and health insurance exchange businesses. However, Mizuho believes these risks are largely reflected in the stock's current valuation.
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