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MED Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Medifast Inc (MED) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
10.120
1 Day change
-5.68%
52 Week Range
15.460
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Medifast Inc (MED) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this time. The company's financial performance is deteriorating significantly, with sharp declines in revenue, net income, and EPS. Additionally, the lack of positive trading signals, weak technical indicators, and no recent positive news or catalysts make this stock unsuitable for investment currently.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive at 0.0248, indicating mild bullish momentum, but the RSI at 62.361 is neutral. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), and the stock is trading near its resistance level (R1: 10.805). Overall, the technical indicators do not suggest a strong buying opportunity.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low Put-Call Ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the trading volume is too low to draw significant conclusions.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
13
Buy
2

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. No recent news or events suggest a positive catalyst for the stock.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Analysts have also lowered the price target from $15 to $12, citing concerns about growth in the coach count.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Medifast reported a revenue drop to $75.1M (-36.90% YoY), a net income loss of -$18.1M (-2362.05% YoY), and an EPS decline to -1.65 (-2457.14% YoY). Gross margin also dropped to 69.43%, down -6.34% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Stephens recently lowered the price target from $15 to $12 and maintained an Equal Weight rating, citing concerns about growth in the coach count despite operational discipline and restructuring efforts.

Wall Street analysts forecast MED stock price to rise
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast MED stock price to rise
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 10.730
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 10.730
sliders
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
Stephens
Stephens
Equal Weight
downgrade
$15 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-02-19
Reason
Stephens
Stephens
Price Target
$15 -> $12
AI Analysis
2026-02-19
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Stephens lowered the firm's price target on Medifast to $12 from $15 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. While the firm believes that operating discipline and restructuring savings are important, the "key proof point will be a return to growth in the coach count," the analyst tells investors in a post-earnings note.

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