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MED Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Medifast Inc(MED) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Medifast Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-03After Hours-0.01-0.21-2000.0089.70M89.41M-0.32+0.84+0.42
FY2025Q22025-08-04After Hours0.000.22-101.80M105.56M+3.69-3.26-4.89
FY2025Q12025-04-28After Hours-0.07-0.11-57.14116.40M115.73M-0.58-0.64+5.33
FY2024Q42025-02-18After Hours-0.270.10+137.04114.25M119.00M+4.16-11.41-10.79
FY2024Q32024-11-04After Hours-0.150.35+333.33138.15M140.16M+1.46+8.45+3.30
FY2024Q22024-08-05-0.360.92+155.56174.05M168.56M-3.16-2.84-9.04
FY2024Q12024-04-29-0.780.66-15.38173.45M174.74M+0.74+5.34-20.82
FY2023Q42024-02-20-0.991.09+10.10184.15M191.02M+3.73-2.12-18.86
FY2023Q32023-11-06-1.022.12+107.84232.10M235.87M+1.62+1.06-6.46
FY2023Q22023-08-07-1.442.77+92.36270.20M296.19M+9.62-2.72-4.93
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MED Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Medifast Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-03. The company achieved an EPS of -0.21, compared to analyst estimates of -0.01 by -2000.00% . Revenue for the quarter reached 89.41M compared to expectations of 89.70M by -0.32% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.84% one-day change and a 0.42% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Medifast Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

MED Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Medifast Inc(MED) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 71.40M and an EPS of -0.45.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.7%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -86.67%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.25% . These revisions correlate with a -19.85% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Medifast Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between MED's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.7%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-86.67%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3.25%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-19.85%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:382.10M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-0.12
—
Stock Price10.86
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MED Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Medifast Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-03,After Hours):
EPS: -0.21 (Actual) vs.-0.01 (Estimate) (-2000.00%)
Revenue: 89.41M (Actual) vs. 89.70M (Estimate) (-0.32%)
Price Reaction: 0.84%(1-Day), 0.42%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-04,After Hours):
EPS: 0.22 (Actual) vs.0.00 (Estimate) (%)
Revenue: 105.56M (Actual) vs. 101.80M (Estimate) (3.69%)
Price Reaction: -3.26%(1-Day), -4.89%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-28,After Hours):
EPS: -0.11 (Actual) vs.-0.07 (Estimate) (-57.14%)
Revenue: 115.73M (Actual) vs. 116.40M (Estimate) (-0.58%)
Price Reaction: -0.64%(1-Day), 5.33%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how MED performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MED sees a -1.54% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -9.35% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.15%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 0.84% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -6.57% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Medifast Inc (MED) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-11-03
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including a 36.2% revenue decline, increased SG&A expenses, and a net loss, indicating financial strain. Despite optimistic guidance on coach productivity and new programs, economic uncertainties and competition pose risks. The Q&A session revealed unclear management responses, adding to investor concerns. Although there are plans for product evolution and a focus on metabolic health, the lack of immediate positive catalysts and the absence of a market cap suggest a negative stock price movement in the short term.
Medifast Inc (MED) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-08-04
The earnings call revealed significant challenges: a 37.4% revenue decline, reduced coach productivity, and client acquisition pressures. Despite cost optimizations and no debt, the market faces economic uncertainties and competitive challenges from GLP-1 medications. Q&A insights did not mitigate these concerns, as reliance on GLP-1 was noted. While operational improvements and investment gains led to positive net income, the weak revenue guidance and coach network issues indicate a negative short-term outlook, likely resulting in a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Medifast Inc (MED) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-29
The earnings call presents a challenging scenario for Medifast, Inc. with significant declines in revenue, active coaches, and earnings. Despite some cost reduction efforts, the overall financial performance is weak, with missed EPS expectations and a negative outlook. The Q&A session revealed management's inability to provide clear guidance, further contributing to uncertainty. The absence of a share repurchase program and the lack of significant positive catalysts suggest a negative market reaction in the near term.
Medifast Inc (MED) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-28
The earnings call reflects significant challenges: a 33.8% revenue drop, a 32.8% decrease in active coaches, and a net loss. Despite stable gross margins, the lack of share repurchase programs and unclear guidance on future trends add uncertainty. The Q&A section highlighted management's evasive responses, further dampening sentiment. Although cost reductions and a strong cash position are positives, the overall outlook is negative due to declining metrics and limited visibility, likely leading to a stock price decline of -2% to -8%.
Medifast Inc (MED) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-28
The earnings call reveals significant challenges: a 33.8% revenue decline, a 32.8% drop in active coaches, and a net loss of $800,000. Despite cost reductions, operational losses and weak guidance overshadow any positives. The Q&A highlights management's reluctance to provide clear guidance, adding uncertainty. The absence of a shareholder return plan and a decrease in marketing efforts further dampen outlook. These factors suggest a negative stock price reaction over the next two weeks.
Medifast Inc (MED) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-02-19
The earnings call reveals several negative factors: significant revenue and coach productivity decline, ongoing customer acquisition challenges, and competitive pressures from GLP-1 medications. Despite a strong cash position and improved gross margin, the absence of a share repurchase program and negative EPS guidance further dampen sentiment. The Q&A section highlights management's cautious outlook and lack of clarity on certain metrics, reinforcing a negative sentiment. Overall, the company's challenges and uncertain guidance suggest a negative stock price movement in the short term.
Medifast, Inc. (MED) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-11-04
The earnings call summary indicates significant financial challenges, including a 40.6% revenue drop and a 36.3% decline in active coaches. Despite a strong cash position, the company faces regulatory and operational risks, and lacks a share repurchase program. The Q&A reveals concerns about declining revenue and unclear management responses. These factors, combined with weak guidance, suggest a negative stock price movement in the short term.
Medifast, Inc. (MED) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2024-08-06
The earnings call reveals a significant decline in revenue and active coaches, indicating operational challenges. Despite a partnership with LifeMD and improved gross margins, the financial outlook remains weak with projected losses. The Q&A session shows management's vague responses on critical metrics, raising concerns about transparency. Although cash reserves are strong, reduced marketing spend and lack of guidance on new client acquisition suggest limited growth. The overall sentiment is negative, as the company's strategic initiatives may not offset the immediate financial risks, likely leading to a stock price decline in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of MED’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

MED reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-03, showcasing a revenue of 89.41M against an estimate of 89.70M, resulting in a -0.32% surprise. The EPS was -0.21, surpassing the expected -0.01 by -2000% . The stock experienced a 0.84% price change on the earnings day and a 0.42% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did MED’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following MED’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-03, the stock price moved by 0.84% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.42% change. Historically, MED’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -1.54% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -9.35% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for MED for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MED’s annual revenue to reach 71.40M, while the EPS is projected at -0.45. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.7% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.25% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does MED’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between MED’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.7%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.25% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from MED’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, MED’s stock price typically moves by -1.54% in the 10 days before its earnings and -9.35% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.45 and revenue of 71.40M.
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What is the sentiment in Medifast Inc (MED) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including a 36.2% revenue decline, increased SG&A expenses, and a net loss, indicating financial strain. Despite optimistic guidance on coach productivity and new programs, economic uncertainties and competition pose risks. The Q&A session revealed unclear management responses, adding to investor concerns. Although there are plans for product evolution and a focus on metabolic health, the lack of immediate positive catalysts and the absence of a market cap suggest a negative stock price movement in the short term.
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