MDU Valuation

MDU Resources Group Inc

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16.350

-0.03(-0.183%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

MDU Relative Valuation

MDU's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, MDU is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

MDU Resources Group Inc (MDU) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 16.21 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 15.46. The fair price of MDU Resources Group Inc (MDU) is between 14.11 to 18.53 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

14.11-18.53

Current Price：16.35

Fair

16.21

Trailing

Forward

9.81

EV/EBITDA

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.81. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.44. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 3.59, Undervalued between 3.59 and 6.51, Fairly Valued between 12.36 and 6.51, Overvalued between 12.36 and 15.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.28. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.81 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

16.62

EV/EBIT

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.62. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 14.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 5.40, Undervalued between 5.40 and 9.87, Fairly Valued between 18.81 and 9.87, Overvalued between 18.81 and 23.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 23.28. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.62 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.73

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU) has a current PS of 1.73. The 5-year average PS is 1.12. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.45, Undervalued between 0.45 and 0.79, Fairly Valued between 1.46 and 0.79, Overvalued between 1.46 and 1.80, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.80. The current Forward PS of 1.73 falls within the Overvalued range.

0.00

P/OCF

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is 7.20. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -0.55, Undervalued between -0.55 and 3.32, Fairly Valued between 11.08 and 3.32, Overvalued between 11.08 and 14.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.95. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Undervalued range.

0.00

P/FCF

MDU Resources Group Inc. (MDU) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 35.55. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -104.98, Undervalued between -104.98 and -34.71, Fairly Valued between 105.81 and -34.71, Overvalued between 105.81 and 176.07, and Strongly Overvalued above 176.07. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

MDU Resources Group Inc (MDU) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.53 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -19.88% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.64, the current P/B ratio is about -25.21% higher. MDU Resources Group Inc (MDU) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 1.96%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.79%, the current FCF yield is approximately -348.28% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.21% , the current FCF yield is about 816.02% lower.

1.23

P/B

Median3y

1.53

Median5y

1.64

1.96

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.79

Median5y

0.21

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for MDU's competitors is 1.77, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. MDU Resources Group Inc Corp (MDU) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.73, which is -1.90% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 1.95%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

MDU.N

MDU Resources Group Inc

Chesapeake Utilities Corp

Excelerate Energy Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of MDU increased by 16.76% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 12.74 to 18.61.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 1.95%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of MDU in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

1.95%

344.47M → 351.19M

Revenue Growth

-31.29%

5.88 → 4.04

Margin Expansion

46.10%

12.74 → 18.61

P/E Change

16.76%