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LYB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
80.450
1 Day change
3.51%
52 Week Range
81.260
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/27
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LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is not a strong buy for a long-term beginner investor at this moment. Despite recent analyst upgrades and positive sentiment around supply constraints in the petrochemical market, the company's weak financial performance in the latest quarter and lack of significant trading signals suggest a cautious approach. Holding the stock or waiting for further clarity on financial recovery would be more prudent.

Technical Analysis

The stock is exhibiting bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), and the MACD is positive at 0.333, indicating upward momentum. However, the RSI at 73.973 is in the neutral zone, and the pre-market price is showing minimal change (-0.03%). Key resistance levels are at $77.534 and $79.53, with support at $71.07 and $69.074.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bearish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The options data shows a slightly bearish sentiment with a Put-Call ratio above 1, indicating more puts than calls. Implied volatility is high at 53.42, with an IV percentile of 84.86, suggesting elevated uncertainty.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
4
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst upgrades with increased price targets, driven by tight supply in the petrochemical market due to geopolitical tensions. RBC Capital and Citi have highlighted asymmetric upside potential and recovery in olefins and polyolefins markets.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down 9.18% YoY, net income dropping by 76.32%, and EPS declining by 76.34%. Additionally, gross margin dropped significantly by 54.22%. Lack of significant hedge fund or insider trading activity and no recent congress trading data also reduce confidence.

Financial Performance

The company's Q4 2025 financials showed significant declines across key metrics: revenue dropped to $7.09 billion (-9.18% YoY), net income fell to -$143 million (-76.32% YoY), EPS dropped to -0.44 (-76.34% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 4.72 (-54.22% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst activity has been positive, with multiple upgrades and raised price targets. UBS, Citi, and RBC Capital have highlighted potential upside due to supply constraints and market recovery. However, the majority of ratings remain Neutral or Hold, reflecting cautious optimism.

Wall Street analysts forecast LYB stock price to fall
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LYB stock price to fall
1 Buy
11 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 77.720
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47.29
High
57
Current: 77.720
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47.29
High
57
UBS
Neutral
maintain
$73 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
New
Reason
UBS
Price Target
$73 -> $79
AI Analysis
2026-03-26
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
UBS raised the firm's price target on LyondellBasell to $79 from $73 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
Mizuho
Neutral
maintain
$62 -> $74
2026-03-23
Reason
Mizuho
Price Target
$62 -> $74
2026-03-23
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Mizuho raised the firm's price target on LyondellBasell to $74 from $62 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
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