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LYB Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Buy
Latest Price
66.820
1 Day change
-0.43%
52 Week Range
78.410
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) is a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The stock benefits from positive catalysts such as tight polyethylene supply due to the Iran conflict, recent analyst upgrades, and a bullish technical setup. Despite weak financial performance in the last quarter, the current market conditions and favorable industry dynamics make this a strong opportunity for long-term gains.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are bullish. The MACD is positively expanding with a histogram value of 0.453, RSI_6 is at 87.855 indicating overbought conditions, and the moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading above key resistance levels, with R1 at 65.392 and R2 at 68.584, suggesting further upside potential.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low option volume put-call ratio (0.22) indicates strong bullish sentiment in the options market, while the open interest put-call ratio (1.14) suggests a balanced but slightly cautious stance among traders.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Tight global polyethylene supply due to the Iran conflict, which is expected to benefit U.S. petrochemical producers like LyondellBasell.

  • Recent analyst upgrades from BMO Capital and KeyBanc with higher price targets ($68 and $73, respectively).

  • Bullish technical indicators and positive market sentiment.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down 9.18% YoY and net income dropping significantly (-76.32% YoY).

  • Dividend cut, which may deter income-focused investors.

  • Overbought RSI levels, indicating a potential short-term pullback.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, the company reported a revenue decline of 9.18% YoY to $7.09 billion, a net income loss of $143 million (-76.32% YoY), and an EPS of -0.44 (-76.34% YoY). Gross margin also dropped significantly to 4.72 (-54.22% YoY), reflecting weak operational performance.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst upgrades highlight a positive shift in sentiment. BMO Capital upgraded the stock to Market Perform with a price target of $68, citing tight polyethylene supply. KeyBanc upgraded it to Overweight with a $73 price target, viewing the Iran conflict as a positive catalyst for U.S. petrochemicals. Earlier ratings were more cautious, reflecting weak financials and operational challenges.

Wall Street analysts forecast LYB stock price to fall
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast LYB stock price to fall
1 Buy
11 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 67.110
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47.29
High
57
Current: 67.110
sliders
Low
36
Averages
47.29
High
57
RBC Capital
Sector Perform -> Outperform
upgrade
$51 -> $82
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
Reason
RBC Capital
Price Target
$51 -> $82
AI Analysis
2026-03-09
New
upgrade
Sector Perform -> Outperform
Reason
RBC Capital upgraded LyondellBasell to Outperform from Sector Perform with a price target of $82, up from $51. The firm is more positive on the shares following the recent events in Iran. LyondellBasell has significant leverage to an olefins and polyolefins recovery, mostly due to constrained global supply, the analyst tells investors in a research note. RBC believes the company's recent dividend cut "de-risks the stock and positions it well for a recovery."
Vertical Research
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$75
2026-03-09
New
Reason
Vertical Research
Price Target
$75
2026-03-09
New
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
Vertical Research upgraded LyondellBasell to Buy from Hold with a $75 price target.
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